Program Design and Evaluation Services, Multnomah County Health Department and Oregon Public Health Division, 827 NE Oregon St, Ste 250, Portland, OR 97232, USA.
Prev Chronic Dis. 2010 Jul;7(4):A79. Epub 2010 Jun 15.
Continued progress in implementing smoke-free laws throughout the United States would benefit from documenting positive economic effects, particularly for the hospitality industry. This study describes changes in sales revenue in bars and taverns since December 2005, when a statewide smoke-free law in Washington State went into effect.
Using 24 quarters of inflation-adjusted taxable retail sales data from 2002 through 2007, we fitted a regression model to estimate the effect of the smoke-free law on sales revenue, controlling for seasonality and other economic factors.
We found no immediate change in bar revenues in the first quarter of 2006, but taxable retail sales grew significantly through the fourth quarter of 2007. In the 2 years after the smoke-free law was implemented, sales revenues were $105.5 million higher than expected for bars and taverns in Washington State.
The higher-than-expected revenue from taxable sales in bars and taverns after the implementation of smoke-free laws in Washington State provided extra funds to the state general fund. Potential increases in revenue in other jurisdictions that implement smoke-free indoor air policies could provide funds to benefit residents of those jurisdictions.
美国继续推进全面无烟法律的实施,记录其积极的经济影响将大有裨益,尤其是对酒店业而言。本研究描述了自 2005 年 12 月华盛顿州全州范围内实施无烟法律以来,酒吧和酒馆销售收益的变化。
我们使用了 2002 年至 2007 年经过通胀调整的 24 个季度的应税零售销售数据,拟合回归模型以估计无烟法律对销售收益的影响,同时控制了季节性和其他经济因素。
我们发现 2006 年第一季度酒吧收入没有立即发生变化,但到 2007 年第四季度应税零售销售额显著增长。在无烟法律实施后的 2 年内,华盛顿州酒吧和酒馆的销售收益比预期高出 1.055 亿美元。
华盛顿州实施无烟法律后,酒吧和酒馆的应税销售额高于预期,为州一般基金提供了额外资金。在实施室内无烟空气政策的其他管辖区,潜在的收入增长可能会为这些管辖区的居民提供受益资金。