Hacker J David
Binghamton University, State University of New York, Department of History, PO Box 6000, Binghamton, NY 13902-6000, 607-777-4210,
Hist Methods. 2010 Apr;43(2):45-79. doi: 10.1080/01615441003720449.
This article constructs new life tables for the white population of the United States in each decade between 1790 and 1900. Drawing from several recent studies, it suggests best estimates of life expectancy at age 20 for each decade. These estimates are fitted to new standards derived from the 1900-02 rural and 1900-02 overall DRA life tables using a two-parameter logit model with fixed slope. The resulting decennial life tables more accurately represent sex-and age-specific mortality rates while capturing known mortality trends.
本文构建了1790年至1900年期间美国白人人口每十年的新生命表。借鉴近期的几项研究,本文给出了每十年20岁时预期寿命的最佳估计值。这些估计值使用具有固定斜率的双参数logit模型,拟合了从1900 - 1902年农村和1900 - 1902年总体死亡风险评估(DRA)生命表得出的新标准。由此得出的十年生命表更准确地反映了按性别和年龄划分的死亡率,同时捕捉到了已知的死亡趋势。