Department of Plastic Surgery, The Cleveland Clinic, 9500 Euclid Avenue, Cleveland, OH 44195, USA.
Aesthet Surg J. 2010 May-Jun;30(3):470-5. doi: 10.1177/1090820X10372209.
As a consumer-driven industry, cosmetic plastic surgery is subject to ebbs and flows as the economy changes. There have been many predictions about the short, intermediate, and long-term impact on cosmetic plastic surgery as a result of difficulties in the current economic climate, but no studies published in the literature have quantified a direct correlation.
The authors investigate a possible correlation between cosmetic surgery volume and the economic trends of the three major US stock market indices.
A volume analysis for the time period from January 1992 to October 2008 was performed (n = 7360 patients, n = 8205 procedures). Four cosmetic procedures-forehead lift (FL), rhytidectomy (Rh), breast augmentation (BA), and liposuction (Li)-were chosen; breast reduction (BRd), breast reconstruction (BRc), and carpal tunnel release (CTR) were selected for comparison. Case volumes for each procedure and fiscal quarter were compared to the trends of the S&P 500, Dow Jones (DOW), and NASDAQ (NASD) indices. Pearson correlation statistics were used to evaluate a relationship between the market index trends and surgical volume. P values <.05 were considered statistically significant.
Three of the four cosmetic surgery procedures investigated (Rh, n = 1540; Li, n = 1291; BA, n = 1959) demonstrated a direct (ie, positive) statistical correlation to all three major market indices. FL (n =312) only correlated to the NASD (P = .021) and did not reach significance with the S&P 500 (P = .077) or DOW (P = .14). BRd and BRc demonstrated a direct correlation to two of the three stock market indices, whereas CTR showed an inverse (ie, negative) correlation to two of the three indices.
This study, to our knowledge, is the first to suggest a direct correlation of four cosmetic and two reconstructive plastic surgery procedures to the three major US stock market indices and further emphasizes the importance of a broad-based plastic surgery practice in times of economic recession.
作为一个由消费者驱动的行业，随着经济形势的变化，整容手术也会出现兴衰。由于当前经济环境困难，人们对整容手术的短期、中期和长期影响进行了多次预测，但文献中没有研究对其进行量化分析。
作者研究了整容手术量与美国三大股票市场指数经济趋势之间的可能相关性。
作者对 1992 年 1 月至 2008 年 10 月的时间进行了一项体积分析（n = 7360 名患者，n = 8205 例手术）。选择了 4 种整容手术——前额提升术（FL）、除皱术（Rh）、隆胸术（BA）和吸脂术（Li）；选择乳房缩小术（BRd）、乳房重建术（BRc）和腕管松解术（CTR）进行比较。比较每个手术和财政季度的病例量与标准普尔 500 指数、道琼斯（DOW）指数和纳斯达克（NASD）指数的趋势。采用皮尔逊相关统计学方法评估市场指数趋势与手术量之间的关系。P 值<0.05 被认为具有统计学意义。
调查的 4 种整容手术中的 3 种（Rh，n = 1540；Li，n = 1291；BA，n = 1959）与所有三个主要市场指数均呈直接（即正相关）统计学相关。FL（n = 312）仅与 NASD 相关（P =.021），与标准普尔 500 指数（P =.077）或道琼斯指数（P =.14）无统计学意义。BRd 和 BRc 与三个股票市场指数中的两个呈直接相关，而 CTR 与三个指数中的两个呈负相关。
据我们所知，这项研究首次表明，四种整容手术和两种重建手术与美国三大股票市场指数之间存在直接相关性，进一步强调了在经济衰退时期开展广泛的整形手术实践的重要性。
