Bay Caroline C, Wirth Peter J, Shaffrey Ellen C, Thornton Sarah M, Rao Venkat K
Aesthet Surg J Open Forum. 2024 Mar 27;6:ojae019. doi: 10.1093/asjof/ojae019. eCollection 2024.
Historically, demand for plastic surgery has been associated with the performance of the US economy. This study evaluates the relationship between economic performance indicators and the popularity and profitability of aesthetic surgery from 2006 to 2022, considering several recessions and the rise of social media. The data were collected from the Aesthetic Society's (AS) Aesthetic Plastic Surgery National Databank and the American Society of Plastic Surgeons' (ASPS) Plastic Surgery Statistics Report from 2006 to 2022. Procedures analyzed included the most performed cosmetic surgeries, as well as neuromodulator injections and dermal fillers. Pearson correlation tests were used to analyze the strength of association between 8 financial indicators and case volumes and expenditures for each procedure. From 2006 to 2020, ASPS data demonstrated gross domestic product (GDP) per capita year-over-year (YOY) change that was positively correlated with case volume and expenditures across 13 out of the 24 different procedure metrics (54.2%). From 2006 to 2016, AS data were positively correlated with the YOY change of theNational Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotations (NASDAQ), Standard and Poor's 500, and Dow Jones in 12 of the 24 variables (50%). This was followed by GDP YOY change, with positive correlations to 11 variables (45.8%). YOY changes of consumer-level finances and inflation indicators were less frequently associated among both datasets.In conclusion, our study shows that aesthetic plastic surgery procedures and expenditures correlate with GDP. Although aesthetic surgery demand may be difficult to anticipate, this study elucidates several factors plastic surgeons may use as a bellwether for their practices.
从历史上看，整形手术的需求一直与美国经济表现相关。本研究评估了2006年至2022年期间经济表现指标与美容手术的受欢迎程度和盈利能力之间的关系，考虑了几次经济衰退以及社交媒体的兴起。数据收集自美容协会（AS）的美容整形手术国家数据库以及美国整形外科医师协会（ASPS）2006年至2022年的整形手术统计报告。分析的手术包括最常进行的美容手术，以及神经调节剂注射和真皮填充剂。使用Pearson相关性检验来分析8个财务指标与每个手术的病例数量和支出之间的关联强度。2006年至2020年，ASPS数据显示，在24个不同手术指标中的13个（54.2%）中，人均国内生产总值（GDP）的同比变化与病例数量和支出呈正相关。2006年至2016年，在24个变量中的12个（50%）中，AS数据与美国全国证券交易商协会自动报价系统（纳斯达克）、标准普尔500指数和道琼斯指数的同比变化呈正相关。其次是GDP同比变化，与11个变量呈正相关（45.8%）。在两个数据集中，消费者层面财务状况和通胀指标的同比变化相关性较低。总之，我们的研究表明，美容整形手术和支出与GDP相关。虽然美容手术需求可能难以预测，但本研究阐明了整形外科医生可作为其业务晴雨表的几个因素。
