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根治性前列腺切除术前后的预测模型。

Predictive models before and after radical prostatectomy.

机构信息

Department of Urology, Hospital San Raffaele, University Vita-Salute, Milan, Italy.

出版信息

Prostate. 2010 Sep 1;70(12):1371-8. doi: 10.1002/pros.21159.

Abstract

CONTEXT

In the last 10 years, several user-friendly predictive tools have been developed to help clinicians in decision-making process before and after radical prostatectomy.

OBJECTIVE

To review the most known and used predictive models in pre-operative and post-operative setting.

EVIDENCE ACQUISITION

A structured, comprehensive literature review was performed using data retrieved from recent review articles, original articles, and abstracts. Used keywords were predictive models, nomograms, look-up tables, classification and regression-tree analysis, artificial neural networks, and radical prostatectomy.

EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS

A great amount of predictive models has been provided in oncology setting: nomograms, look-up tables, classification and regression-tree analysis, propensity scores, risk-group stratification models, and artificial neural networks. Pre-surgery predictive tools offer the opportunity of getting the most evidence-based and individualized selection of available treatment alternatives. Post-operative predictive models usually provide higher accuracy relative to the pre-surgery models.

CONCLUSIONS

Decisions and treatment should be tailored to each individual patient and to the specific characteristics of patients. A number of available predictive models represent a tool to provide accurate prediction of cancer natural history and to improve patients' care.

摘要

背景

在过去的 10 年中,已经开发出了几种用户友好的预测工具,以帮助临床医生在根治性前列腺切除术前后的决策过程中。

目的

综述术前和术后应用最广泛的预测模型。

证据采集

使用来自最近的综述文章、原始文章和摘要中检索到的数据,进行了结构化、全面的文献回顾。使用的关键词有预测模型、列线图、查询表、分类和回归树分析、人工神经网络和根治性前列腺切除术。

证据综合

在肿瘤学领域已经提供了大量的预测模型:列线图、查询表、分类和回归树分析、倾向评分、风险分组分层模型和人工神经网络。术前预测工具提供了获得最循证和个体化选择可用治疗方法的机会。术后预测模型通常比术前模型提供更高的准确性。

结论

决策和治疗应根据每个患者的具体情况和特点量身定制。许多可用的预测模型代表了一种提供癌症自然史的准确预测并改善患者护理的工具。

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