Faculty of Public Health, the University of Indonesia, Kampus FKM UI, Depok, Indonesia.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2010 Jun;7(6):2473-85. doi: 10.3390/ijerph7062473. Epub 2010 Jun 4.
Using aggregated panel data taken from three waves of the Indonesian Family Life Survey (1993-2000), this article tests the myopic addiction behaviour of cigarette demand. Sensitivity analysis is done by examining a rational addiction behavior of cigarette demand. The results provide support for myopic addiction. The short- and long-run price elasticities of cigarette demand are estimated at -0.28 and -0.73 respectively. Excise taxes are more likely to act as an effective tobacco control in the long-run rather than a major source of government revenue.
本文利用印度尼西亚家庭生活调查(1993-2000 年)的三波聚合面板数据,检验了香烟需求的近视成瘾行为。通过检验香烟需求的理性成瘾行为,进行了敏感性分析。结果支持近视成瘾。香烟需求的短期和长期价格弹性分别估计为-0.28 和-0.73。从长期来看,消费税更有可能成为一种有效的烟草控制手段,而不是政府收入的主要来源。