Am J Trop Med Hyg. 2010 Aug;83(2 Suppl):75-85. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.2010.83s2a03.
In East Africa, Rift Valley fever (RVF) usually occurs as explosive epizootics with prolonged inter-epidemic periods on the order of 8 to 10 years. The episodic nature of the disease and the rapid evolution of outbreaks create special challenges for its mitigation and control. Following the events of the 2006 and 2007 RVF outbreak in East Africa, decision-makers assembled their collective experiences in the form of a risk-based decision support tool to help guide responses in future emergencies. The premise of the tool is that a series of natural events are indicative of the increasing risk of an outbreak and that actions should be matched to this evolving risk profile. In this manner, investment in prevention and control can be qualitatively optimized. The decision support tool is a living document written through stakeholder input. This publication captures the current tool as an example of risk-based decision support.
在东非,裂谷热 (RVF) 通常以爆发性的动物流行病形式出现,其流行间隔期较长,约为 8 到 10 年。这种疾病的间歇性和疫情的快速演变给其减轻和控制带来了特殊挑战。在 2006 年和 2007 年东非裂谷热疫情之后,决策者们以风险为基础的决策支持工具的形式汇集了他们的集体经验,以帮助指导未来紧急情况的应对。该工具的前提是,一系列自然事件表明暴发风险正在增加,应根据这种不断变化的风险状况采取行动。通过这种方式,可以定性优化预防和控制方面的投资。决策支持工具是通过利益攸关方投入编写的活文档。本出版物以风险为基础的决策支持为例,介绍了当前的工具。