State Key Laboratory of Lake Science and Environment, Nanjing Institute of Geography and Limnology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, No 73 East Beijing Road, Nanjing 210008, China.
Ecotoxicology. 2010 Nov;19(8):1476-86. doi: 10.1007/s10646-010-0533-9. Epub 2010 Aug 15.
The method on combined effects of environmental estrogens and mixture environmental risk assessment was discussed. Batch tests were conducted to assess the in vivo potency of mixtures of estrogens using plasma vitellogenin concentrations in male crucian carp (Carassius carassius) as the endpoint. A nonlinear regression was determined on the concentration response relationship for the single chemical of 17β-estradiol (E(2)), 17α-ethynylestradiol (EE(2)), 4-tert-octylphenol (OP), bisphenol A (BPA), and that of the mixed compounds at equipotent concentrations (E(2)-EE(2), E(2)-EE(2)-OP-BPA), the mixture was tested using a fixed-ratio design. On the basis of statistical selection criteria, the best-fit model is chosen individually for each set of data. Furthermore, the bootstrap methodology is applied for constructing confidence intervals for the estimated effect concentrations. The combined effects of the mixture can be predicted using biomathematical models based on the concentration and potency of the individual mixture components. The finding of non-monotonic dose-response relationship and the combined effects can be accurately predicted in whole range of exposure concentration by the reference models, whereas the outcome of simple effect summation with a great deal of indetermination. Results suggested that there can be a risk of mixture effects. The potential impact of components on mixture would depend predominantly on its concentration, the mixture ratio, and its relative potency. Existing environmental risk assessment procedures are limited in their ability to evaluate the combined effects of chemical mixtures, therefore further improvement is needed.
探讨了环境雌激素的联合效应及混合环境风险评估方法。采用雄性鲫鱼(Carassius carassius)血浆卵黄蛋白原浓度作为终点,进行批量试验,评估雌激素混合物的体内效价。对单一化学物质 17β-雌二醇(E(2))、17α-乙炔雌二醇(EE(2))、4-叔辛基酚(OP)、双酚 A(BPA)的浓度-反应关系以及等效浓度混合化合物(E(2)-EE(2)、E(2)-EE(2)-OP-BPA)进行非线性回归,采用固定比例设计测试混合物。根据统计选择标准,为每组数据单独选择最佳拟合模型。此外,还应用自举方法为估计的效应浓度构建置信区间。可以根据混合物中各成分的浓度和效价,通过生物数学模型预测混合物的联合效应。参考模型可以准确预测整个暴露浓度范围内非单调剂量-反应关系和联合效应,而简单效应相加的结果则存在很大的不确定性。结果表明,混合物可能存在风险。各成分对混合物的潜在影响主要取决于其浓度、混合比例和相对效价。现有的环境风险评估程序在评估化学混合物的联合效应方面能力有限,因此需要进一步改进。