Research Center for Genes, Environment and Human Health and Graduate Institute of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, National Taiwan University, Taiwan.
Stat Med. 2010 Oct 30;29(24):2557-67. doi: 10.1002/sim.4028.
The case-control study is a simple and an useful method to characterize the effect of a gene, the effect of an exposure, as well as the interaction between the two. The control-free case-only study is yet an even simpler design, if interest is centered on gene-environment interaction only. It requires the sometimes plausible assumption that the gene under study is independent of exposures among the non-diseased in the study populations. The Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium is also sometimes reasonable to assume. This paper presents an easy-to-implement approach for analyzing case-control and case-only studies under the above dual assumptions. The proposed approach, the 'conditional logistic regression with counterfactuals', offers the flexibility for complex modeling yet remains well within the reach to the practicing epidemiologists. When the dual assumptions are met, the conditional logistic regression with counterfactuals is unbiased and has the correct type I error rates. It also results in smaller variances and achieves higher powers as compared with using the conventional analysis (unconditional logistic regression).
病例对照研究是一种简单而有用的方法,可以描述基因、暴露因素的作用,以及两者之间的相互作用。如果研究的重点仅在于基因-环境相互作用,则无对照的病例-only 研究设计更为简单。它需要有时合理的假设,即所研究的基因与研究人群中未患病者的暴露因素无关。有时也可以合理地假设 Hardy-Weinberg 平衡。本文提出了一种在上述双重假设下分析病例对照研究和病例-only 研究的易于实现的方法。所提出的方法“带反事实条件逻辑回归”,提供了复杂建模的灵活性,但仍在实践流行病学家的掌握之中。当满足双重假设时,带反事实的条件逻辑回归是无偏的,具有正确的Ⅰ类错误率。与使用传统分析(无条件逻辑回归)相比,它还会导致更小的方差并实现更高的功效。