Department of Social Medicine, University of Bristol, UK.
AIDS. 2010 Nov 13;24(17):2717-25. doi: 10.1097/QAD.0b013e32833fb71f.
OBJECTIVE: In South Africa, many HIV-infected patients experience delays in accessing antiretroviral therapy (ART). We examined pretreatment mortality and access to treatment in patients waiting for ART. DESIGN: Cohort of HIV-infected patients assessed for ART eligibility at 36 facilities participating in the Comprehensive HIV and AIDS Management (CHAM) program in the Free State Province. METHODS: Proportion of patients initiating ART, pre-ART mortality and risk factors associated with these outcomes were estimated using competing risks survival analysis. RESULTS: Forty-four thousand, eight hundred and forty-four patients enrolled in CHAM between May 2004 and December 2007, of whom 22 083 (49.2%) were eligible for ART; pre-ART mortality was 53.2 per 100 person-years [95% confidence interval (CI) 51.8-54.7]. Median CD4 cell count at eligibility increased from 87 cells/μl in 2004 to 101 cells/μl in 2007. Two years after eligibility an estimated 67.7% (67.1-68.4%) of patients had started ART, and 26.2% (25.6-26.9%) died before starting ART. Among patients with CD4 cell counts below 25 cells/μl at eligibility, 48% died before ART and 51% initiated ART. Men were less likely to start treatment and more likely to die than women. Patients in rural clinics or clinics with low staffing levels had lower rates of starting treatment and higher mortality compared with patients in urban/peri-urban clinics, or better staffed clinics. CONCLUSIONS: Mortality is high in eligible patients waiting for ART in the Free State Province. The most immunocompromised patients had the lowest probability of starting ART and the highest risk of pre-ART death. Prioritization of these patients should reduce waiting times and pre-ART mortality.
目的:在南非,许多感染 HIV 的患者在获得抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)方面存在延迟。我们研究了等待接受 ART 治疗的患者的治疗前死亡率和获得治疗的情况。
设计:在自由州省参加综合 HIV 和艾滋病管理(CHAM)计划的 36 个设施中,对接受 ART 资格评估的 HIV 感染患者进行了队列研究。
方法:使用竞争风险生存分析估计开始接受 ART 的患者比例、治疗前死亡率以及与这些结果相关的风险因素。
结果:2004 年 5 月至 2007 年 12 月期间,共有 44844 名患者参加了 CHAM,其中 22083 人(49.2%)符合接受 ART 的条件;治疗前死亡率为每 100 人年 53.2 例[95%置信区间(CI)51.8-54.7]。符合资格时的 CD4 细胞计数中位数从 2004 年的 87 个/μl 增加到 2007 年的 101 个/μl。符合资格后 2 年,估计有 67.7%(67.1-68.4%)的患者开始接受 ART,26.2%(25.6-26.9%)在开始接受 ART 之前死亡。在符合资格时 CD4 细胞计数低于 25 个/μl 的患者中,48%的患者在接受 ART 之前死亡,51%的患者开始接受 ART。男性开始治疗的可能性低于女性,死亡的可能性高于女性。与城市/城乡结合部诊所或人员配备水平较高的诊所相比,农村诊所或人员配备水平较低的诊所的患者开始治疗的比例较低,死亡率较高。
结论:在自由州省等待接受 ART 的符合条件的患者中,死亡率较高。免疫功能受损最严重的患者开始接受 ART 的可能性最低,接受 ART 前死亡的风险最高。对这些患者进行优先排序应可减少等待时间和接受 ART 前的死亡率。
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