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因果中介分析的一般方法。

A general approach to causal mediation analysis.

机构信息

Department of Politics, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA.

出版信息

Psychol Methods. 2010 Dec;15(4):309-34. doi: 10.1037/a0020761.

Abstract

Traditionally in the social sciences, causal mediation analysis has been formulated, understood, and implemented within the framework of linear structural equation models. We argue and demonstrate that this is problematic for 3 reasons: the lack of a general definition of causal mediation effects independent of a particular statistical model, the inability to specify the key identification assumption, and the difficulty of extending the framework to nonlinear models. In this article, we propose an alternative approach that overcomes these limitations. Our approach is general because it offers the definition, identification, estimation, and sensitivity analysis of causal mediation effects without reference to any specific statistical model. Further, our approach explicitly links these 4 elements closely together within a single framework. As a result, the proposed framework can accommodate linear and nonlinear relationships, parametric and nonparametric models, continuous and discrete mediators, and various types of outcome variables. The general definition and identification result also allow us to develop sensitivity analysis in the context of commonly used models, which enables applied researchers to formally assess the robustness of their empirical conclusions to violations of the key assumption. We illustrate our approach by applying it to the Job Search Intervention Study. We also offer easy-to-use software that implements all our proposed methods.

摘要

传统上,在社会科学中,因果中介分析是在线性结构方程模型的框架内进行制定、理解和实施的。我们认为并证明,这存在三个问题:缺乏独立于特定统计模型的因果中介效应的一般定义、无法指定关键识别假设以及难以将框架扩展到非线性模型。在本文中,我们提出了一种克服这些限制的替代方法。我们的方法具有通用性,因为它提供了因果中介效应的定义、识别、估计和敏感性分析,而无需参考任何特定的统计模型。此外,我们的方法在单个框架内将这四个要素紧密地联系在一起。因此,所提出的框架可以容纳线性和非线性关系、参数和非参数模型、连续和离散的中介以及各种类型的结果变量。一般定义和识别结果还使我们能够在常用模型的背景下进行敏感性分析,这使应用研究人员能够正式评估其经验结论对关键假设违反的稳健性。我们通过将其应用于工作搜索干预研究来说明我们的方法。我们还提供了易于使用的软件,该软件实现了我们提出的所有方法。

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