Department of Preventive Medicine, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, California, USA.
Adv Genet. 2010;72:47-71. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-380862-2.00003-5.
Genetic epidemiology is increasingly focused on complex diseases involving multiple genes and environmental factors, often interacting in complex ways. Although standard frequentist methods still have a role in hypothesis generation and testing for discovery of novel main effects and interactions, Bayesian methods are particularly well suited to modeling the relationships in an integrated "systems biology" manner. In this chapter, we provide an overview of the principles of Bayesian analysis and their advantages in this context and describe various approaches to applying them for both model building and discovery in a genome-wide setting. In particular, we highlight the ability of Bayesian methods to construct complex probability models via a hierarchical structure and to account for uncertainty in model specification by averaging over large spaces of alternative models.
遗传流行病学越来越关注涉及多个基因和环境因素的复杂疾病,这些因素通常以复杂的方式相互作用。虽然标准的频率派方法在假设生成和检验方面仍然具有作用,可以发现新的主要效应和相互作用,但贝叶斯方法特别适合以集成的“系统生物学”方式对关系进行建模。在本章中,我们提供了贝叶斯分析的原理概述及其在这种情况下的优势,并描述了在全基因组范围内应用它们进行模型构建和发现的各种方法。特别是,我们强调了贝叶斯方法通过分层结构构建复杂概率模型的能力,以及通过在替代模型的大空间上进行平均来解释模型规范中的不确定性。