Prendergast Michael, Huang David, Evans Elizabeth, Hser Yih-Ing
Integrated Substance Abuse Programs, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, 1640 S. Sepulveda Blvd., Suite 200, Los Angeles, CA 90025.
J Drug Issues. 2010 Dec;40(1):7-26. doi: 10.1177/002204261004000102.
This paper examines the arrest trajectories of adult men and women, drawn from a sample of clients admitted to substance abuse treatment. Growth-mixture modeling was used to identify distinctive trajectories in arrests for men and women between ages 18 and 45. In addition, the characteristics of men and women in each of the trajectory groups were compared by gender, arrest trajectory, and the interaction of gender and arrest trajectory. Findings indicated that while the shape of the five trajectories was similar for men and women, higher percentages of men than women were in the High trajectory group (12.5% vs. 8.5%), the Moderate group (27.9% vs. 20.9%), and Slow Increase group (25.5% vs. 20.6%), with more women than men being in the Low group (34.1% vs. 27.1%). Although arrests declined as men and women aged, there did not appear to be many individuals who had terminated their criminal career by age 45. Overall, more similarities than differences were observed in the characteristics of men and women across trajectories. Additional research should examine whether the causal factors influencing arrest trajectories differ by gender.
本文研究了来自物质滥用治疗机构的成年男性和女性客户样本的被捕轨迹。采用增长混合模型来识别18至45岁男性和女性在被捕方面的不同轨迹。此外,还按性别、被捕轨迹以及性别与被捕轨迹的相互作用,对各轨迹组中男性和女性的特征进行了比较。研究结果表明,虽然男性和女性的五条轨迹形状相似,但处于高轨迹组的男性比例高于女性(12.5%对8.5%)、中度组(27.9%对20.9%)和缓慢增长组(25.5%对20.6%),处于低轨迹组的女性多于男性(34.1%对27.1%)。尽管随着男性和女性年龄增长,被捕次数有所下降,但到45岁时似乎没有多少人终止其犯罪生涯。总体而言,在不同轨迹中男性和女性的特征上,观察到的相似之处多于差异。进一步的研究应考察影响被捕轨迹的因果因素是否因性别而异。