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根据基线 IGF1 水平预测新发糖尿病。

Prediction of incident diabetes mellitus by baseline IGF1 levels.

机构信息

Medizinische Klinik-Innenstadt, Ludwig-Maximilians University, Munich, Germany.

出版信息

Eur J Endocrinol. 2011 Feb;164(2):223-9. doi: 10.1530/EJE-10-0963. Epub 2010 Nov 8.

DOI:10.1530/EJE-10-0963
PMID:21059863
Abstract

OBJECTIVE

IGF1 is associated with metabolic parameters and involved in glucose metabolism. Low-IGF1 has been implicated in the etiology of glucose intolerance and subjects with pathological causes of either low- or high-IGF1 are at risk of diabetes. We hypothesized that both low- and high-IGF1 levels increase the risk of diabetes and aimed to assess the role of IGF1 in the risk of developing diabetes in a large prospective study.

DESIGN

An analysis of two prospective cohort studies, the DETECT study and SHIP.

METHODS

We measured IGF1 levels in 7777 nondiabetic subjects and assessed incident diabetes mellitus during follow-up.

RESULTS

There were 464 cases of incident diabetes during 32 229 person-years (time of follow-up in the DETECT study and SHIP: 4.5 and 5 years respectively). There was no heterogeneity between both studies (P > 0.4). The hazard ratios (HRs) of incident diabetes in subjects with IGF1 levels below the 10th or above the 90th age- and sex-specific percentile, compared to subjects with intermediate IGF1 levels, were 1.44 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-1.94) and 1.55 (95% CI 1.06-2.06) respectively, after multiple adjustment. After further adjustment for metabolic parameters, the HR for low-IGF1 became insignificant. Analysis of IGF1 quintiles revealed a U-shaped association of IGF1 with risk of diabetes. Results remained similar after exclusion of patients with onset of new diabetes within 1 year or with borderline glucose or HbA1c levels at baseline.

CONCLUSIONS

Subjects with low- or high-IGF1 level are at increased risk of developing diabetes.

摘要

目的

IGF1 与代谢参数相关,并参与葡萄糖代谢。低 IGF1 与葡萄糖耐量异常的病因有关,并且 IGF1 水平低或高的患者都有患糖尿病的风险。我们假设低 IGF1 和高 IGF1 水平都会增加患糖尿病的风险,并旨在通过一项大型前瞻性研究评估 IGF1 在糖尿病发病风险中的作用。

设计

两项前瞻性队列研究(DETECT 研究和 SHIP)的分析。

方法

我们测量了 7777 名非糖尿病受试者的 IGF1 水平,并在随访期间评估了新发糖尿病病例。

结果

在 32229 人年(DETECT 研究和 SHIP 的随访时间分别为 4.5 年和 5 年)期间,有 464 例新发糖尿病病例。两项研究之间没有异质性(P > 0.4)。与 IGF1 水平处于中间范围的受试者相比,IGF1 水平低于第 10 百分位或高于第 90 百分位的受试者新发糖尿病的风险比(HRs)分别为 1.44(95%可信区间 [CI] 1.07-1.94)和 1.55(95% CI 1.06-2.06),经多重调整后。在进一步调整代谢参数后,低 IGF1 的 HR 变得不显著。IGF1 五分位分析显示 IGF1 与糖尿病风险呈 U 型关联。排除新发糖尿病发病后 1 年内的患者或基线时血糖或 HbA1c 水平临界的患者后,结果仍然相似。

结论

低 IGF1 或高 IGF1 水平的受试者患糖尿病的风险增加。

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