Heidemann Christin, Scheidt-Nave Christa
Robert Koch Institute, Department of Epidemiology and Health Monitoring, Berlin.
J Health Monit. 2017 Oct 9;2(3):98-121. doi: 10.17886/RKI-GBE-2017-062. eCollection 2017 Oct.
Continuous monitoring of the key epidemiological indicators of diabetes is necessary for evaluating the magnitude of diabetes as a public health problem, but is currently not being undertaken in Germany. A comprehensive literature review covering the last decades was conducted to give an overview of population-based studies reporting on diabetes prevalence, diabetes incidence, and diabetes-related mortality among adults in Germany. This review differentiates between known and unknown diabetes, but not between individual types of diabetes. Numerous studies have identified a considerable increase in the prevalence of known diabetes among the adult population over time. Until the 1960s, the prevalence of known diabetes remained below 1%. However, current nationwide estimates for Germany are much higher and range between 7.2% (population aged 18 to 79 years) based on health examination surveys of the Robert Koch Institute (RKI), 8.9% (population aged 18 years and over) based on RKI telephone health interview surveys and 9.9% (among all age groups) based on statutory health insurance data. Few available estimates point to an increase in the incidence of known diabetes since the 1960s. For example, a comparison of data from the diabetes register of the former German Democratic Republic (GDR) in 1960 with current follow-up data from RKI survey participants shows that incidence rates increased from 1.2 (all age groups) to 6.9 (population aged 18 to 79 years) per 1,000 person-years. Data on diabetes-related mortality are also scarce, but indicate that excess mortality persists among people with known diabetes compared to those in the same age group without the condition, despite the finding of decreasing mortality rates among people with known diabetes. For example, the mortality rate based on early data from the GDR diabetes register was 1.9-fold higher among people with known diabetes than among the general population; current mortality follow-up data of RKI survey participants show a 1.7-fold higher mortality rate among people with known diabetes compared to those without the condition. Given the limited data that are currently available and the considerable variation of diagnostic criteria, it is not possible to estimate time trends in the prevalence, incidence or mortality of unknown diabetes. An extension of available health monitoring approaches and an improved use of existing data sources for secondary analysis are needed for a reliable evaluation of dynamics in diabetes epidemiology in Germany. To achieve these goals, a national diabetes surveillance system is currently being established under the auspices of the RKI.
持续监测糖尿病的关键流行病学指标对于评估糖尿病作为一个公共卫生问题的严重程度是必要的,但德国目前尚未开展此项工作。我们进行了一项涵盖过去几十年的全面文献综述,以概述德国成年人中基于人群的研究报告的糖尿病患病率、发病率和糖尿病相关死亡率。本综述区分了已知糖尿病和未知糖尿病,但未区分糖尿病的具体类型。许多研究发现,随着时间的推移,成年人群中已知糖尿病的患病率显著增加。直到20世纪60年代,已知糖尿病的患病率仍低于1%。然而,目前德国全国范围的估计值要高得多,基于罗伯特·科赫研究所(RKI)健康检查调查的结果,18至79岁人群的患病率为7.2%;基于RKI电话健康访谈调查的结果,18岁及以上人群的患病率为8.9%;基于法定医疗保险数据的结果,所有年龄组的患病率为9.9%。少数可用的估计数据表明,自20世纪60年代以来,已知糖尿病的发病率有所上升。例如,将前德意志民主共和国(东德)1960年糖尿病登记册的数据与RKI调查参与者目前的随访数据进行比较,结果显示发病率从每1000人年1.2例(所有年龄组)增至6.9例(18至79岁人群)。糖尿病相关死亡率的数据也很稀少,但表明与同年龄组无糖尿病的人相比,已知糖尿病患者的超额死亡率仍然存在,尽管已知糖尿病患者的死亡率呈下降趋势。例如,根据东德糖尿病登记册的早期数据,已知糖尿病患者的死亡率比普通人群高1.9倍;RKI调查参与者目前的死亡率随访数据显示,已知糖尿病患者的死亡率比无糖尿病患者高1.7倍。鉴于目前可用的数据有限以及诊断标准存在很大差异,无法估计未知糖尿病的患病率、发病率或死亡率的时间趋势。为了可靠地评估德国糖尿病流行病学的动态变化,需要扩展现有的健康监测方法,并更好地利用现有数据源进行二次分析。为实现这些目标,目前正在RKI的主持下建立一个全国性糖尿病监测系统。