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无烟法律是否会影响酒吧和餐馆的收入?

Do smoke-free laws affect revenues in pubs and restaurants?

机构信息

Health Economics Research Programme at the University of Oslo, Institute of Health Management and Health Economics, P.O. Box 1089, Blindern, 0317 Oslo, Norway.

出版信息

Eur J Health Econ. 2012 Feb;13(1):93-9. doi: 10.1007/s10198-010-0287-6. Epub 2010 Nov 20.

Abstract

In the debate about laws regulating smoking in restaurants and pubs, there has been some controversy as to whether smoke-free laws would reduce revenues in the hospitality industry. Norway presents an interesting case for three reasons. First, it was among the first countries to implement smoke-free laws, so it is possible to assess the long-term effects. Second, it has a cold climate so if there is a negative effect on revenue one would expect to find it in Norway. Third, the data from Norway are detailed enough to distinguish between revenue from pubs and restaurants. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) intervention analysis of bi-monthly observations of revenues in restaurants and pubs show that the law did not have a statistically significant long-term effect on revenue in restaurants or on restaurant revenue as a share of personal consumption. Similar analysis for pubs shows that there was no significant long-run effect on pub revenue.

摘要

在关于规范餐厅和酒吧吸烟的法律的争论中,关于禁烟法是否会减少酒店业收入存在一些争议。挪威有三个原因成为一个有趣的案例。首先,它是最早实施禁烟法的国家之一,因此可以评估其长期影响。其次,挪威气候寒冷,因此如果对收入有负面影响,人们预计会在挪威发现这种影响。第三,挪威的数据足够详细,可以区分酒吧和餐厅的收入。对餐厅和酒吧每两个月观察一次的收入进行自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)干预分析表明,该法律对餐厅收入或餐厅收入占个人消费的比例没有产生统计学上显著的长期影响。对酒吧的类似分析表明,酒吧收入没有受到显著的长期影响。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/e3d2/3249552/f295e9985e4c/10198_2010_287_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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