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巴西的黄热病:对先前无疫区出现疫情的思考和假设。

Yellow fever in Brazil: thoughts and hypotheses on the emergence in previously free areas.

机构信息

Seção de Arbovirologia e Febres Hemorrágicas, Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia para Febres Hemorrágicas Virais, Instituto Evandro Chagas, Belém, PA, Brasil.

出版信息

Rev Saude Publica. 2010 Dec;44(6):1144-9. doi: 10.1590/s0034-89102010005000046. Epub 2010 Oct 15.

Abstract

This article describes and discusses factors associated to the reemergence of yellow fever and its transmission dynamics in the states of São Paulo (Southeastern Brazil) and Rio Grande do Sul (Southern) during 2008 and 2009. The following factors have played a pivotal role for the reemergence of yellow fever in these areas: large susceptible human population; high prevalence of vectors and primary hosts (non-human primates); favorable climate conditions, especially increased rainfall; emergence of a new genetic lineage; and circulation of people and/or monkeys infected by virus. There is a need for an effective surveillance program to prevent the reemergence of yellow fever in other Brazilian states.

摘要

本文描述并讨论了 2008 年和 2009 年期间,巴西东南部的圣保罗州和南部的南里奥格兰德州黄热病重新出现及其传播动态的相关因素。以下因素在这些地区黄热病的重新出现中起着关键作用:大量易感人群;媒介和主要宿主(非人类灵长类动物)的高流行率;有利的气候条件,特别是降雨量增加;新遗传谱系的出现;以及受病毒感染的人和/或猴子的传播。有必要建立有效的监测计划,以防止黄热病在巴西其他州重新出现。

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