拉丁美洲老年人的个人收入与跌倒情况。
Individual income and falls among the elderly in Latin America.
机构信息
Health Systems Program, Department of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland 21205, USA.
出版信息
Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2011 Apr;11(2):180-90. doi: 10.1111/j.1447-0594.2010.00662.x. Epub 2010 Dec 12.
AIM
The burden of falls amongst the elderly raises important public health concerns. Empirical evidence suggests that macroeconomic growth may not be sufficient to reduce mortality and morbidity from injuries among the elderly. This paper consolidates macro- and microeconomic evidence of the effect of income on elderly falls in Latin America.
METHOD
Using household databases, we estimate an empirical model to assess the relationship between income and falls.
RESULTS
The estimations indicate that an increase in personal income reduces the probability of falling; yet, the size of the effect is negligible. A 10% increase in income reduces the probability of falling between 0.001 and 0.002% while a 20% increase reduced the probability by up to 1%.
CONCLUSION
These findings are consistent with macroeconomic data where morbidity and mortality among seniors are inelastic to economic growth. Policy implications of cash transfer programs targeting the elderly are discussed.
目的
老年人跌倒的负担引发了重要的公共卫生问题。实证证据表明，宏观经济增长可能不足以降低老年人因受伤而导致的死亡率和发病率。本文综合了宏观和微观经济证据，以确定收入对拉丁美洲老年人跌倒的影响。
方法
我们使用家庭数据库来估计一个经验模型，以评估收入与跌倒之间的关系。
结果
估计结果表明，个人收入的增加降低了跌倒的可能性；然而，这种影响的大小可以忽略不计。收入增加 10%将跌倒的可能性降低 0.001%至 0.002%，而收入增加 20%则将可能性降低了 1%。
结论
这些发现与宏观经济数据一致，老年人的发病率和死亡率对经济增长没有弹性。讨论了针对老年人的现金转移计划的政策含义。
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