National Institute for Public Health and the Environment, RIVM, Centre for Infectious Disease Control Netherlands, Bilthoven, The Netherlands.
Eur J Public Health. 2012 Feb;22(1):150-7. doi: 10.1093/eurpub/ckq187. Epub 2010 Dec 22.
The disease burden of the 2009 influenza pandemic has been debated but reliable estimates are lacking. To guide future policy and control, these estimates are necessary. This study uses burden of disease measurements to assess the contribution of the pandemic influenza A(H1N1) virus to the overall burden of disease in the Netherlands.
The burden of disease caused by 2009 pandemic influenza was estimated by calculating Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALY), a composite measure that combines incidence, sequelae and mortality associated with a disease, taking duration and severity into account. Available influenza surveillance data sources (primary care sentinel surveillance, notification data on hospitalizations and deaths and death registries) were used. Besides a baseline scenario, five alternative scenarios were used to assess effects of changing values of input parameters.
The baseline scenario showed a loss of 5800 DALY for the Netherlands (35 DALY per 100 000 population). This corresponds to 0.13% of the estimated annual disease burden in the Netherlands and is comparable to the estimated disease burden of seasonal influenza, despite a different age distribution in incidence and mortality of the pandemic compared to seasonal influenza.
This disease burden estimate confirmed that, although there was a higher mortality observed among young people, the 2009 pandemic was overall a mild influenza epidemic. The disease burden of this pandemic was comparable to the burden of seasonal influenza in the Netherlands.
2009 年流感大流行的疾病负担一直存在争议,但缺乏可靠的估计。为了指导未来的政策和控制,有必要对这些估计进行评估。本研究使用疾病负担测量方法来评估甲型 H1N1 流感大流行病毒对荷兰整体疾病负担的贡献。
通过计算残疾调整生命年(DALY)来估计 2009 年大流行性流感造成的疾病负担,这是一种综合衡量指标,结合了与疾病相关的发病率、后遗症和死亡率,考虑到持续时间和严重程度。利用了现有的流感监测数据来源(初级保健哨点监测、住院和死亡通知数据以及死亡登记处)。除了基线情景外,还使用了五个替代情景来评估改变输入参数值的影响。
基线情景表明,荷兰有 5800 人失去了 DALY(每 10 万人中有 35 个 DALY)。这相当于荷兰估计年度疾病负担的 0.13%,尽管与季节性流感相比,大流行的发病率和死亡率的年龄分布不同,但与季节性流感的估计疾病负担相当。
这项疾病负担估计证实,尽管年轻人的死亡率较高,但 2009 年的大流行总体上是一种轻度流感流行。这种大流行的疾病负担与荷兰的季节性流感负担相当。