European Programme for Intervention Epidemiology Training, European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, Stockholm, Sweden.
Euro Surveill. 2012 Sep 20;17(38):20276.
To assess the burden of influenza on the Finnish healthcare system, we analysed hospitalisations during 1996-2010 using the International Classification of Diseases codes potentially related to influenza and its complications from the national hospital discharge registry. To compare the influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 pandemic with previous influenza seasons in 1996-2009, we calculated hospitalisation rates by age- and diagnostic groups. We built a negative binomial regression model based on times series analysis to assess the impact of the pandemic. Influenza-associated hospitalisation rates were higher during the pandemic compared to pre-pandemic influenza seasons for 5-24 year-olds (incidence rate ratio (IRR): 1.52, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.44-1.60) and 25-64 year-olds (IRR: 1.33, 95% CI: 1.29-1.36), but did not differ for persons aged ≥ 65 years (IRR: 0.98, 95% CI: 0.97-1.00). Hospitalisation rates exceeded the upper limit of the prediction line by 177% in 5-24 year-olds, 66% in 0-4 year-olds and 57% in 25-64 year-olds. During the influenza season of 2003/04, all age groups had higher-than-expected hospitalisation rates, whereas other seasonal peaks were only notable among persons aged ≥ 65 years. These age-specific differences in the hospital burden underscore the importance of the continuous surveillance of hospitalisations in order to evaluate immunisation priorities for seasonal influenza and pandemic preparedness including use of antiviral medication.
为了评估流感对芬兰医疗保健系统的负担,我们使用国家住院出院登记处中与流感及其并发症相关的国际疾病分类代码分析了 1996 年至 2010 年期间的住院情况。为了比较甲型 H1N1pdm09 大流行与 1996 年至 2009 年之前的流感季节,我们按年龄和诊断组计算了住院率。我们基于时间序列分析构建了一个负二项回归模型,以评估大流行的影响。与大流行前的流感季节相比,流感相关的住院率在大流行期间对 5-24 岁(发病率比(IRR):1.52,95%置信区间(CI):1.44-1.60)和 25-64 岁(IRR:1.33,95%CI:1.29-1.36)的人群更高,但对≥65 岁的人群没有差异(IRR:0.98,95%CI:0.97-1.00)。5-24 岁的住院率比预测线高出 177%,0-4 岁的住院率高出 66%,25-64 岁的住院率高出 57%。在 2003/04 年流感季节,所有年龄组的住院率均高于预期,而其他季节性高峰仅在≥65 岁人群中明显。这些年龄特异性的住院负担差异强调了连续监测住院情况的重要性,以评估季节性流感和大流行准备的免疫优先事项,包括使用抗病毒药物。