Bögel K, Meslin F X
Division of Communicable Diseases, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Bull World Health Organ. 1990;68(3):281-91.
Analysis of the present situation in canine-rabies-infected countries shows that in most cases the levels of activities for controlling the disease in man and in dogs are far too low to prevent human deaths due to rabies and to eliminate the disease in the dog population. This article compares the two major orientations of a rabies control programme, i.e., prevention of the disease in man by intensifying and modernizing post-exposure treatment (strategy A) and canine rabies elimination by controlling the disease in the animal reservoir (strategy B). The operation of both strategies (A + B) together is also analysed. Based on the available data and assumptions for calculations of the costs, the results show that when the strategies are applied independently of each other, the annual cost of strategy B amounts to 25-56% of that of strategy A. When the two strategies are applied together, the actual annual spending related to the implementation of A + B becomes less than that of strategy A alone as from the fifth year following programme initiation. The sensitivity of the results was tested against selected fluctuations in the assumptions. An estimation of the costs of control activities per avoided death, according to the strategy applied, is also given. In countries where resources allocated to rabies control are inadequate in both the health and veterinary sectors, the comparison in costs and effectiveness of the two programme strategies for rabies elimination strongly suggests that consideration should be given to a national programme of dog rabies elimination. On the other hand, for obvious ethical reasons, if attention is paid to improvement of post-exposure treatment, then the national authorities should consider a planning horizon close to 15 years.
对狂犬病感染国家的现状分析表明,在大多数情况下,控制人类和犬类疾病的活动水平过低,无法预防因狂犬病导致的人类死亡,也无法在犬类群体中消除该疾病。本文比较了狂犬病控制计划的两种主要方向,即通过加强和现代化暴露后治疗来预防人类疾病(策略A)以及通过控制动物宿主中的疾病来消除犬类狂犬病(策略B)。同时还分析了两种策略(A + B)共同实施的情况。根据现有的数据和成本计算假设,结果显示,当两种策略相互独立应用时,策略B的年度成本占策略A的25% - 56%。当两种策略一起应用时,从项目启动后的第五年起,与实施A + B相关的实际年度支出低于单独实施策略A的支出。针对假设中的选定波动对结果的敏感性进行了测试。还给出了根据所应用策略每避免一例死亡的控制活动成本估算。在卫生和兽医部门分配给狂犬病控制的资源都不足的国家,对两种狂犬病消除计划策略的成本和效果进行比较强烈表明,应考虑制定国家犬类狂犬病消除计划。另一方面,出于明显的伦理原因,如果关注暴露后治疗的改善,那么国家当局应考虑接近15年的规划期限。