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利用有序变量的人工神经网络模型在职业安全与健康中的应用。

Application of artificial neural network models in occupational safety and health utilizing ordinal variables.

作者信息

Moayed Farman A, Shell Richard L

机构信息

Department of the Built Environment, College of Technology, Indiana State University, Terre Haute, IN 47809, USA.

出版信息

Ann Occup Hyg. 2011 Mar;55(2):132-42. doi: 10.1093/annhyg/meq079. Epub 2010 Dec 27.

Abstract

Safety professionals and practitioners are always searching for methods to accurately assess the association between exposures and possible occupational disorders or diseases and predict the outcome of any variable. Statistical analysis and logistic regression (LR) in particular are among the most popular tools being used today. Artificial neural network (ANN) models are another method of predicting outcomes, which are gradually finding their way into the safety field. Limited studies have shown that they are capable of predicting outcomes more accurately than LR, but they have been tested either on continuous or on dichotomous variables or combinations of them. The objective of this research was to demonstrate that ANN models can perform better than LR models with data sets comprised of all ordinal variables, which has not been done so far. The data set used in this research was collected from construction workers using the Work Compatibility questionnaire. The data set contained only ordinal variables both as input (exposure) and as output (outcome) variables. LR models and ANN models were constructed using the same data set and the performance of all models was compared by using the log-likelihood ratio. The result of this study showed that ANN models performed significantly better than LR models with a data set of all ordinal variables as well as other types of variables such as dichotomous and continuous.

摘要

安全专业人员和从业者一直在寻找方法,以准确评估暴露与可能的职业失调或疾病之间的关联,并预测任何变量的结果。统计分析,尤其是逻辑回归(LR),是当今最常用的工具之一。人工神经网络(ANN)模型是另一种预测结果的方法,并且正逐渐进入安全领域。有限的研究表明,它们能够比逻辑回归更准确地预测结果,但它们要么是针对连续变量或二分变量或二者的组合进行测试的。本研究的目的是证明,对于由所有有序变量组成的数据集,人工神经网络模型比逻辑回归模型表现得更好,而这一点目前尚未有人做到。本研究中使用的数据集是通过工作适应性问卷从建筑工人那里收集的。该数据集仅包含作为输入(暴露)和输出(结果)变量的有序变量。使用相同的数据集构建逻辑回归模型和人工神经网络模型,并通过对数似然比比较所有模型的性能。本研究结果表明,对于由所有有序变量以及二分变量和连续变量等其他类型变量组成的数据集,人工神经网络模型的表现明显优于逻辑回归模型。

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