Rokaw W M, Mercy J A, Smith J C
Division of Injury Control, Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, GA 30333.
Public Health Rep. 1990 Sep-Oct;105(5):447-55.
Both the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) Mortality System and the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Uniform Crime Reporting System measure the numbers and characteristics of homicide in the United States. There are important differences, however, in both the substance and the quality of the information that the two systems collect. The NCHS mortality system reported an average of 9 percent more homicides nationally than did the FBI crime reporting system during the 1976-82 period. Variations did occur in the average ratios of the frequencies of homicides reported by the two systems across age, race, and sex subgroups and geographic areas. The major source of the ascertainment difference between the NCHS and the FBI systems is thought to be incomplete voluntary reporting to the FBI by participating law enforcement agencies and lack of reporting by nonparticipating agencies. The proportions of homicides among corresponding demographic categories in the two systems is remarkably similar despite the difference in ascertainment. This congruence of the distributions of reported homicides supports the idea that inferences drawn from analysis of variables in one of these systems will be valid for the population reported on by the other system.
美国国家卫生统计中心(NCHS)的死亡率系统和联邦调查局(FBI)的统一犯罪报告系统都对美国的杀人案件数量及特征进行统计。然而,这两个系统所收集信息的内容和质量存在重要差异。在1976 - 1982年期间,NCHS死亡率系统报告的全国杀人案件平均数量比FBI犯罪报告系统多9%。两个系统报告的杀人案件频率在不同年龄、种族、性别亚组以及地理区域的平均比率确实存在差异。NCHS系统和FBI系统在统计结果上存在差异的主要原因被认为是参与的执法机构向FBI的自愿报告不完整,以及未参与的机构未进行报告。尽管统计结果存在差异,但两个系统中相应人口类别中的杀人案件比例非常相似。报告的杀人案件分布的这种一致性支持了这样一种观点,即从其中一个系统的变量分析中得出的推论对于另一个系统所报告的人群是有效的。