对公众对比利时海岸洪灾风险认知的分析。
An analysis of the public perception of flood risk on the Belgian coast.
机构信息
1Department of Geography Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.
出版信息
Risk Anal. 2011 Jul;31(7):1055-68. doi: 10.1111/j.1539-6924.2010.01571.x. Epub 2011 Jan 13.
In recent years, perception of flood risks has become an important topic to policy makers concerned with risk management and safety issues. Knowledge of the public risk perception is considered a crucial aspect in modern flood risk management as it steers the development of effective and efficient flood mitigation strategies. This study aimed at gaining insight into the perception of flood risks along the Belgian coast. Given the importance of the tourism industry on the Belgian coast, the survey considered both inhabitants and residential tourists. Based on actual expert's risk assessments, a high and a low risk area were selected for the study. Risk perception was assessed on the basis of scaled items regarding storm surges and coastal flood risks. In addition, various personal and residence characteristics were measured. Using multiple regression analysis, risk perception was found to be primarily influenced by actual flood risk estimates, age, gender, and experience with previous flood hazards.
近年来,洪水风险感知已成为决策者关注风险管理和安全问题的一个重要议题。公众对洪水风险的认知被认为是现代洪水风险管理的一个关键方面,因为它指导着制定有效和高效的洪水缓解策略。本研究旨在深入了解比利时沿海地区对洪水风险的感知。鉴于旅游业对比利时沿海地区的重要性,该调查考虑了当地居民和度假居民。基于实际专家的风险评估,选择了一个高风险区和一个低风险区进行研究。风险感知是基于有关风暴潮和沿海洪水风险的量表项目来评估的。此外,还测量了各种个人和居住特征。通过多元回归分析,发现风险感知主要受到实际洪水风险估计、年龄、性别和以往洪水灾害经验的影响。