Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
J Air Waste Manag Assoc. 2010 Dec;60(12):1463-70.
To improve the accuracy and applicability of vehicular emission models, this study proposes a speed and vehicle-specific power (VSP) modeling method to estimate vehicular emissions and fuel consumption using data gathered by a portable emissions monitoring system (PEMS). The PEMS data were categorized into discrete speed-VSP bins on the basis of the characteristics of vehicle driving conditions and emissions in Chinese cities. Speed-VSP modal average rates of emissions (or fuel consumption) and the time spent in the corresponding speed-VSP bins were then used to calculate the total trip emissions (or fuel consumption) and emission factors (or fuel economy) under specific average link speeds. The model approach was validated by comparing it against measured data with prediction errors within 20% for trip emissions and link-speed-based emission factors. This analysis is based on the data of light-duty gasoline vehicles in China; however, this research approach could be generalized to other vehicle fleets in other countries. This modeling method could also be coupled with traffic demand models to establish high-resolution emissions inventories and evaluate the impacts of traffic-related emission control measures.
为提高车载排放模型的准确性和适用性,本研究提出了一种速度和车辆比功率(VSP)建模方法,利用便携式排放监测系统(PEMS)收集的数据来估算车辆排放和燃料消耗。根据中国城市车辆行驶条件和排放的特点,将 PEMS 数据划分为离散的速度-VSP 箱。然后,利用速度-VSP 模态平均排放率(或燃料消耗率)以及在相应速度-VSP 箱中花费的时间,计算特定平均路段速度下的总行程排放(或燃料消耗)和排放因子(或燃料经济性)。通过将该模型方法与实测数据进行比较,验证了其有效性,行程排放的预测误差在 20%以内,路段速度基排放因子的预测误差也在 20%以内。本分析基于中国轻型汽油车的数据,但该研究方法可推广至其他国家的其他车队。该建模方法还可与交通需求模型相结合,建立高分辨率排放清单,并评估与交通相关的排放控制措施的影响。