Centers for Disease Control, Department of Health, Taipei, Taiwan.
Int J Tuberc Lung Dis. 2011 Jan;15(1):50-5.
To measure the tuberculosis (TB) incidence rate and assess the relative risk of TB disease in contacts based on the tuberculin skin test (TST) and sputum status of index cases.
All contacts aged <20 years who were exposed to a TB case in 2005 were cross-matched using an electronic surveillance system to estimate TB incidence over a 24-month follow-up period.
Among 6959 contacts there were 67 secondary cases (1%). The incidence was highest in the first year after exposure and decreased by half in the second year (P = 0.001). The relative risks of developing TB in contacts aged 0-4, 5-9, 10-14 and 15-19 years were respectively 325, 209, 337 and 53 times greater than for the general population. The hazard ratio of developing TB among contacts with a TST ≥ 15 mm induration was 12 times higher than for those with a TST < 5 mm (P = 0.003).
The relative risk of developing TB disease within 24 months of exposure was approximately 200-300 times greater for contacts aged <15 years. The majority developed TB within 12 months of exposure.
基于结核菌素皮肤试验(TST)和索引病例的痰检情况,测量结核(TB)发病率,并评估接触者患 TB 病的相对风险。
利用电子监测系统,将所有 2005 年接触过 TB 病例且年龄<20 岁的接触者进行交叉匹配,以估计 24 个月随访期间的 TB 发病率。
在 6959 名接触者中,有 67 例继发病例(1%)。发病风险在接触后第一年最高,第二年降低一半(P=0.001)。0-4 岁、5-9 岁、10-14 岁和 15-19 岁接触者发生 TB 的相对风险分别是普通人群的 325 倍、209 倍、337 倍和 53 倍。硬结直径≥15mm 的 TST 接触者发生 TB 的风险比硬结直径<5mm 的接触者高 12 倍(P=0.003)。
<15 岁接触者在接触后 24 个月内发生 TB 病的相对风险约为 200-300 倍。大多数接触者在接触后 12 个月内发生 TB。