Lyngstad Torkild Hovde
Department of Sociology and Human Geography, University of Oslo, PO Box 1096 Blindern, 0317 Oslo, Norway.
Eur J Popul. 2011 Feb;27(1):57-77. doi: 10.1007/s10680-010-9226-6. Epub 2011 Jan 4.
The decision to divorce may be affected by the characteristics of the local community. Community characteristics may be barriers to divorce, or they may increase the attractiveness of divorcing (e.g., access to a good remarriage market), but our knowledge of such influences is sparse. This study examines two such community-level factors: socio-economic conditions and the local marriage market. In this study, discrete-time hazard models with community-level fixed effects are estimated using register-based data on Norwegian first marriages during the period from 1980 to 1999, with longitudinal information on both the community and couple levels (N = 283,493). The results show that there are important community-level influences on couples' divorce risk, but these change dramatically when fixed effects are introduced.
离婚的决定可能会受到当地社区特征的影响。社区特征可能是离婚的障碍，也可能会增加离婚的吸引力（例如，进入良好的再婚市场），但我们对这类影响的了解很少。本研究考察了两个此类社区层面的因素：社会经济状况和当地婚姻市场。在本研究中，利用1980年至1999年期间挪威初婚的登记数据，估计了具有社区层面固定效应的离散时间风险模型，这些数据包含社区和夫妻层面的纵向信息（N = 283,493）。结果表明，社区层面因素对夫妻的离婚风险有重要影响，但引入固定效应后，这些影响会发生显著变化。
