Department of Social and Preventive Medicine, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Republic of Korea.
Sci Total Environ. 2011 May 1;409(11):2019-28. doi: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2011.02.032. Epub 2011 Mar 21.
Few studies have attempted to quantify the integrated health burden, incorporating both mortality and morbidity as these factors pertain to air pollutants, on the population in the vicinity of the incinerators. The aims of this study are to estimate the attributable burden of disease caused by incinerators in Seoul, Korea and to present an approach based on source-specific exposure for the estimation of the environmental burden of disease (EBD). With particular attention on the development of a measurement means of the source-specific, exposure-based population attributable fraction (PAF), we integrated air dispersion modeling, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), the population distribution of exposure, and the exposure-response relationship. We then estimated the PAFs caused by additional concentrations of four air pollutants (PM(10), NO(2,) SO(2), and CO) emitted from four municipal solid waste incinerators (MSWIs) in Seoul in 2007. We, finally, estimated the attributable burden of disease, using the estimated PAF and the disability-adjusted life years (DALY) method developed by the Global Burden of Disease Group of the World Health Organization (WHO). The PAF for NO(2) to all-cause mortality was assessed at approximately 0.02% (95% CI: 0.003-0.036%), which was the highest among all air pollutants. The PAFs for respiratory and cardiovascular disease were 0.12% (95% CI: 0.01-0.16%) and 0.10% (95% CI: 0.04-0.16%), respectively. The sum of the attributable burden of disease for four pollutants was about 297 person-years (PYs) (95% CI: 121-472 PYs) when the incinerators observed to the emission standards. The attributable burdens of respiratory disease and cardiovascular disease were about 0.2% and 0.1%, respectively, of the total burden of respiratory disease and cardiovascular disease of Seoul citizens for the year 2007. Although the air emissions from one risk factor, an incinerator, are small, the burden of disease can be significant to the public health when population exposure is considered.
很少有研究试图量化包含死亡率和发病率在内的综合健康负担,因为这些因素与空气污染物有关,涉及到焚烧炉附近的人口。本研究的目的是估算韩国首尔焚烧炉造成的疾病可归因负担,并提出一种基于源特定暴露的方法来估算疾病的环境负担(EBD)。特别关注开发一种基于源特定暴露的人群归因分数(PAF)的测量方法,我们综合了空气扩散模型、地理信息系统(GIS)、暴露人群分布和暴露-反应关系。然后,我们估算了 2007 年首尔四个城市固体废物焚烧炉(MSWIs)排放的四种空气污染物(PM(10)、NO(2)、SO(2)和 CO)的额外浓度引起的 PAF。最后,我们使用世界卫生组织(WHO)全球疾病负担小组开发的估计 PAF 和残疾调整生命年(DALY)方法来估算疾病的可归因负担。所有原因死亡率的 NO(2)PAF 约为 0.02%(95%CI:0.003-0.036%),在所有空气污染物中最高。呼吸和心血管疾病的 PAF 分别为 0.12%(95%CI:0.01-0.16%)和 0.10%(95%CI:0.04-0.16%)。当焚烧炉遵守排放标准时,四种污染物造成的疾病可归因负担总和约为 297 人年(95%CI:121-472 人年)。2007 年,呼吸疾病和心血管疾病的可归因负担分别约为首尔市民呼吸疾病和心血管疾病总负担的 0.2%和 0.1%。尽管一个风险因素(焚烧炉)的空气排放量很小,但当考虑到人群暴露时,疾病负担对公共健康可能是显著的。