Futures Group, Washington, DC 20005, USA.
Matern Child Health J. 2012 Feb;16(2):456-63. doi: 10.1007/s10995-011-0777-x.
Globally, the number of maternal deaths remains large, and the risk per birth is high in the developing world. Deaths declined between 1990 and 2008, despite the 42% increase in women. We decompose selected determinants to help explain the decline. Numbers of women, births, and fertility rates come from the UN; maternal mortality ratios are from the UN and from Hogan et al. Decomposition isolates the effects of additional women, decreases in fertility, and declines in mortality ratios, also in rates. Women aged 15-49 increased by 42%, but births remained constant due to declining fertility rates. The fertility decline alone averted approximately 1.7 million deaths, 1990-2008. The risk per birth (MMR) also fell, adding to the decline in the number of deaths. Exceptional declines occurred in the maternal mortality rate. Sub-Saharan Africa has experienced minimal declines in deaths, due to increases in women and small declines in fertility and mortality. The growing numbers of women have made international efforts to reduce the number of maternal deaths ever more challenging. Comparatively little attention has been given to the offsetting effect of the historic fertility declines in the developing world, and hence a flat trend in births. The maternal mortality ratio has also fallen, reflecting the success of direct maternal health efforts. Programs that provide couples with the means to control their fertility can reinforce fertility declines. These programs are companions to ongoing, direct measures to reduce the risk of death once pregnant.
全球范围内,孕产妇死亡人数仍然很多,发展中国家每分娩一次的风险很高。尽管妇女数量增加了 42%,但在 1990 年至 2008 年期间,孕产妇死亡率有所下降。我们对选定的决定因素进行了分解,以帮助解释下降的原因。妇女人数、出生人数和生育率数据来自联合国;孕产妇死亡率数据来自联合国和 Hogan 等人。分解可以分离出新增妇女人数、生育率下降和死亡率下降的影响,也包括率的下降。15-49 岁的妇女增加了 42%,但由于生育率下降,出生人数保持不变。仅生育率下降一项就避免了大约 170 万例死亡,1990-2008 年期间。每分娩一次的风险(MMR)也有所下降,这也导致了死亡人数的减少。孕产妇死亡率出现了异常下降。撒哈拉以南非洲地区的孕产妇死亡人数几乎没有下降,这是由于妇女人数增加,生育率和死亡率略有下降。妇女人数的增加使得国际社会减少孕产妇死亡人数的努力变得更加具有挑战性。相对而言,发展中国家历史上生育率下降的抵消作用,以及由此导致的出生人数持平趋势,几乎没有得到关注。孕产妇死亡率也有所下降,反映了直接母婴健康工作的成功。为夫妇提供控制生育手段的项目可以加强生育率下降。这些项目是与正在进行的直接措施相配合的,以降低怀孕后的死亡风险。
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