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加权图上的流行病与疫苗接种。

Epidemics and vaccination on weighted graphs.

机构信息

Department of Mathematics, Stockholm University, 10691 Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Math Biosci. 2011 Jul;232(1):57-65. doi: 10.1016/j.mbs.2011.04.003. Epub 2011 Apr 23.

Abstract

A Reed-Frost epidemic with inhomogeneous infection probabilities on a graph with prescribed degree distribution is studied. Each edge (u,v) in the graph is equipped with two weights W((u,v)) and W((v,u)) that represent the (subjective) strength of the connection and determine the probability that u infects v in case u is infected and vice versa. Expressions for the epidemic threshold are derived for i.i.d. weights and for weights that are functions of the degrees. For i.i.d. weights, a variation of the so called acquaintance vaccination strategy is analyzed where vertices are chosen randomly and neighbors of these vertices with large edge weights are vaccinated. This strategy is shown to outperform the strategy where the neighbors are chosen randomly in the sense that the basic reproduction number is smaller for a given vaccination coverage.

摘要

研究了具有规定度分布的图上具有不均匀感染概率的里德-弗罗斯特流行病。图中的每条边(u,v)都配备了两个权重 W((u,v)) 和 W((v,u)),它们代表连接的(主观)强度,并确定 u 在感染的情况下感染 v 的概率,反之亦然。为独立同分布权重和度函数权重推导了流行病阈值的表达式。对于独立同分布的权重,分析了一种所谓的熟人疫苗接种策略的变体,其中随机选择顶点,并且这些顶点的大边权重的邻居被接种疫苗。该策略在基本再生数方面优于随机选择邻居的策略,即在给定的疫苗接种覆盖率下,基本再生数更小。

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