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撒哈拉以南非洲地区儿童生存是否存在城市优势?来自 20 世纪 90 年代 18 个国家的证据。

Is there an urban advantage in child survival in sub-saharan Africa? Evidence from 18 countries in the 1990s.

机构信息

Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain-la-Neuve, Belgium.

出版信息

Demography. 2011 May;48(2):531-58. doi: 10.1007/s13524-011-0019-2.

Abstract

Evidence of higher child mortality of rural-to-urban migrants compared with urban nonmigrants is growing. However, less attention has been paid to comparing the situation of the same families before and after they migrate with the situation of urban-to-rural migrants. We use DHS data from 18 African countries to compare child mortality rates of six groups based on their mothers' migration status: rural nonmigrants; urban nonmigrants; rural-to-urban migrants before and after they migrate; and urban-to-rural migrants before and after they migrate. The results show that rural-to-urban migrants had, on average, lower child mortality before they migrated than rural nonmigrants, and that their mortality levels dropped further after they arrived in urban areas. We found no systematic evidence of higher child mortality for rural-to-urban migrants compared with urban nonmigrants. Urban-to-rural migrants had higher mortality in the urban areas, and their move to rural areas appeared advantageous because they experienced lower or similar child mortality after living in rural areas. After we control for known demographic and socioeconomic correlates of under-5 mortality, the urban advantage is greatly reduced and sometimes reversed. The results suggest that it may not be necessarily the place of residence that matters for child survival but, rather, access to services and economic opportunities.

摘要

越来越多的证据表明,与城市非移民相比,农村到城市的移民的儿童死亡率更高。然而,人们对比较同一家庭在移民前后的情况与城市到农村的移民的情况关注较少。我们使用来自 18 个非洲国家的 DHS 数据,根据母亲的移民状况将儿童死亡率分为六组进行比较:农村非移民;城市非移民;农村到城市移民在移民前后;以及城市到农村移民在移民前后。结果表明,农村到城市的移民在移民前的儿童死亡率平均低于农村非移民,而他们到达城市地区后死亡率进一步下降。我们没有发现农村到城市的移民与城市非移民相比儿童死亡率更高的系统证据。城市到农村的移民在城市地区的死亡率更高,他们搬到农村地区似乎是有利的,因为他们在农村地区生活后死亡率较低或相似。在我们控制了 5 岁以下儿童死亡率的已知人口统计学和社会经济相关因素后,城市的优势大大降低,有时甚至反转。结果表明,对儿童生存来说,可能不一定是居住地的问题,而是获得服务和经济机会的问题。

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