Department of Epidemiology and Public Health, University of Maryland School of Medicine, Baltimore, Maryland 21201, USA.
Clin Infect Dis. 2011 Jul 15;53(2):150-7. doi: 10.1093/cid/cir306. Epub 2011 Jun 10.
Liver-related mortality among those infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) has been described, but little is known about non-liver-related mortality. Our objective was to determine HCV-associated all-cause, liver-, and non-liver-related mortality in the general US population.
A prospective cohort study of 9378 nationally representative adults aged 17-59 years was performed utilizing the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III) Linked Mortality File that was made publicly available in 2010. HCV status was assessed from 1988 to 1994, with mortality follow-up of the same individuals through 2006.
There were 614 deaths over a median follow-up of 14.8 years. After adjusting for all covariate risk factors, HCV chronic infection had a 2.37 times higher all-cause mortality rate ratio [MRR] (95% CI: 1.28-4.38; P = .008), a 26.46 times higher liver-related MRR (95% CI: 8.00-87.48; P < .001), and 1.79 times higher non-liver-related MRR (95% CI: .77-4.19; P = .18), compared with being HCV-negative. This represents an estimated 2.46 million US adults aged 17-59 years with chronic HCV infection who had an estimated 31,163 deaths from all causes per year, of which 57.8% (95% CI: 21.9%-77.2%) were attributable to HCV. Among those, there was an estimated 9569 liver-related deaths per year, of which 96.2% (95% CI: 87.5-98.9%) were attributable to HCV. Non-liver-related deaths were not significantly associated with HCV status.
Chronic HCV all-cause mortality is more than twice that of HCV-negative individuals. This suggests that those with chronic HCV infection are at a higher risk of death even after accounting for liver-related morbidity and should be closely monitored.
已有人描述过丙型肝炎病毒 (HCV) 感染者的肝脏相关死亡率,但对非肝脏相关死亡率知之甚少。我们的目的是确定普通美国人群中 HCV 相关的全因、肝脏和非肝脏相关死亡率。
对使用 1988 年至 1994 年从第三次全国健康和营养检查调查 (NHANES III) 中获得的 9378 名年龄在 17-59 岁的具有全国代表性的成年人进行了一项前瞻性队列研究,并利用 2010 年公开提供的与之相关的死亡档案进行了随访。使用 1988 年至 1994 年获得的 HCV 状态数据,对同一人群进行了中位随访 14.8 年的死亡率随访。
中位随访 14.8 年后共发生 614 例死亡。在调整了所有协变量风险因素后,HCV 慢性感染的全因死亡率比为 2.37 倍(95%CI:1.28-4.38;P=0.008),肝脏相关死亡率比为 26.46 倍(95%CI:8.00-87.48;P<0.001),非肝脏相关死亡率比为 1.79 倍(95%CI:0.77-4.19;P=0.18)。这代表了估计有 246 万年龄在 17-59 岁的美国成年人患有慢性 HCV 感染,每年估计有 31163 人死于各种原因,其中 57.8%(95%CI:21.9%-77.2%)归因于 HCV。其中,估计每年有 9569 例与肝脏相关的死亡,其中 96.2%(95%CI:87.5%-98.9%)归因于 HCV。非肝脏相关死亡与 HCV 状态无显著关联。
慢性 HCV 的全因死亡率是 HCV 阴性个体的两倍多。这表明,即使考虑到与肝脏相关的发病率,慢性 HCV 感染者的死亡风险也更高,应密切监测。