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中国非1型丙型肝炎病毒感染新型抗病毒治疗的成本效益:社会视角

Cost-effectiveness of new antiviral treatments for non-genotype 1 hepatitis C virus infection in China: a societal perspective.

作者信息

Wei Xia, Zhao Jingyu, Yang Li

机构信息

Department of Health policy and management, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.

Department of Health policy and management, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China

出版信息

BMJ Glob Health. 2020 Nov;5(11). doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-003194.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) among patients with non-genotype 1 for the eradication of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in China.

METHODS

A decision-analytic Markov model was developed to estimate the lifetime costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) for DAAs and pegylated interferon plus ribavirin (PEG-RBV) from a societal perspective. The model inputs were derived from the literature, a patient survey, HCV expert opinions and a specialised drug price database available in China. Sensitivity analysis was conducted to evaluate the model robustness and calculate reasonable prices of DAAs.

RESULTS

For patients infected with HCV genotype 2, the pan-genotypic regimen sofosbuvir/velpatasvir (SOF/VEL) was the most cost-effective strategy compared with PEG-RBV, with an ICER of US$5653/QALY. For genotype 3, the combination of sofosbuvir plus daclatasvir (SOF-DCV) was the most cost-effective approach, with an ICER of US$3314/QALY. All DAA regimens for genotype 6 were cost-saving, and sofosbuvir plus ribavirin (SOF-RBV) was the optimal regimen. One-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the ICERs were most sensitive to the utility values, discount rate and drug costs. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis indicated that using a threshold equal to one time the gross domestic product (GDP) per capita in China (US$9769/QALY, 2018), the probability of SOF/VEL, SOF-DCV and SOF-RBV being cost-effective was 58%, 83% and 71% for genotype 2, 3 and 6, respectively. Threshold analysis showed that the price of DAAs should be reduced by some degree to achieve better affordability.

CONCLUSIONS

DAAs were cost-effective compared with traditional treatments. A reasonable reduction in the price of DAAs will increase drug affordability and is of great significance as a global strategy to eradicate viral hepatitis.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在评估直接抗病毒药物(DAA)在中国非1型丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)感染患者中用于根除HCV感染的成本效益。

方法

建立了一个决策分析马尔可夫模型,从社会角度估算DAA与聚乙二醇干扰素联合利巴韦林(PEG-RBV)的终身成本、质量调整生命年(QALY)和增量成本效益比(ICER)。模型输入数据来源于文献、患者调查、HCV专家意见以及中国可用的专业药品价格数据库。进行敏感性分析以评估模型的稳健性并计算DAA的合理价格。

结果

对于HCV基因2型感染患者,泛基因型方案索磷布韦/维帕他韦(SOF/VEL)与PEG-RBV相比是最具成本效益的策略,ICER为5653美元/QALY。对于基因3型,索磷布韦联合达卡他韦(SOF-DCV)是最具成本效益的方法,ICER为3314美元/QALY。所有基因6型的DAA方案均具有成本节约效果,索磷布韦联合利巴韦林(SOF-RBV)是最佳方案。单向敏感性分析表明,ICER对效用值、贴现率和药物成本最为敏感。概率敏感性分析表明,使用等于中国人均国内生产总值(GDP)一倍的阈值(9769美元/QALY,2018年),对于基因2型、3型和6型,SOF/VEL、SOF-DCV和SOF-RBV具有成本效益的概率分别为58%、83%和71%。阈值分析表明,DAA的价格应在一定程度上降低以实现更好的可及性。

结论

与传统治疗方法相比,DAA具有成本效益。合理降低DAA价格将提高药物可及性,作为根除病毒性肝炎的全球战略具有重要意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c1e6/7703443/f1578fd78fcc/bmjgh-2020-003194f01.jpg

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