Department of Experimental Biomedical Sciences, Medical School of Padova, Padova, Italy.
Environ Health. 2011 Jun 17;10:59. doi: 10.1186/1476-069X-10-59.
Whether or not there is a relationship between use of mobile phones (analogue and digital cellulars, and cordless) and head tumour risk (brain tumours, acoustic neuromas, and salivary gland tumours) is still a matter of debate; progress requires a critical analysis of the methodological elements necessary for an impartial evaluation of contradictory studies.
A close examination of the protocols and results from all case-control and cohort studies, pooled- and meta-analyses on head tumour risk for mobile phone users was carried out, and for each study the elements necessary for evaluating its reliability were identified. In addition, new meta-analyses of the literature data were undertaken. These were limited to subjects with mobile phone latency time compatible with the progression of the examined tumours, and with analysis of the laterality of head tumour localisation corresponding to the habitual laterality of mobile phone use.
Blind protocols, free from errors, bias, and financial conditioning factors, give positive results that reveal a cause-effect relationship between long-term mobile phone use or latency and statistically significant increase of ipsilateral head tumour risk, with biological plausibility. Non-blind protocols, which instead are affected by errors, bias, and financial conditioning factors, give negative results with systematic underestimate of such risk. However, also in these studies a statistically significant increase in risk of ipsilateral head tumours is quite common after more than 10 years of mobile phone use or latency. The meta-analyses, our included, examining only data on ipsilateral tumours in subjects using mobile phones since or for at least 10 years, show large and statistically significant increases in risk of ipsilateral brain gliomas and acoustic neuromas.
Our analysis of the literature studies and of the results from meta-analyses of the significant data alone shows an almost doubling of the risk of head tumours induced by long-term mobile phone use or latency.
使用移动电话(模拟和数字蜂窝电话以及无绳电话)是否与头部肿瘤风险(脑瘤、听神经瘤和唾液腺癌)之间存在关系仍存在争议;要取得进展,需要对评估相互矛盾的研究所需的方法学要素进行严格分析。
对所有针对移动电话使用者头部肿瘤风险的病例对照和队列研究、汇总分析和荟萃分析的方案和结果进行了仔细检查,并为每项研究确定了评估其可靠性所需的要素。此外,还对文献数据进行了新的荟萃分析。这些分析仅限于移动电话潜伏期与所研究肿瘤进展相匹配的受试者,以及与移动电话惯用侧对应的头部肿瘤定位的侧别分析。
无错误、无偏倚且不受财务条件因素影响的盲法方案得出阳性结果,揭示了长期使用移动电话或潜伏期与同侧头部肿瘤风险的统计学显著增加之间存在因果关系,具有生物学合理性。而非盲法方案则受到错误、偏倚和财务条件因素的影响,导致对这种风险的系统性低估,其结果为阴性。然而,即使在这些研究中,同侧头部肿瘤的风险在使用移动电话 10 年以上后也相当常见,呈统计学显著增加。我们进行的荟萃分析仅检查了使用移动电话至少 10 年的同侧肿瘤患者的数据,结果显示同侧脑胶质瘤和听神经瘤的风险显著增加,且幅度较大。
我们对文献研究的分析以及对重要数据荟萃分析结果的分析表明,长期使用移动电话或潜伏期会使头部肿瘤的风险增加近一倍。