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1950 年至 1994 年美国膀胱癌死亡率与人口密度的关系。

Population densities in relation to bladder cancer mortality rates in America from 1950 to 1994.

机构信息

Department of Urology, Tulane University School of Medicine, 1430 Tulane Avenue, SL-42, Room 3522, New Orleans, LA 70112, USA.

出版信息

Int Urol Nephrol. 2012 Apr;44(2):443-9. doi: 10.1007/s11255-011-0018-7. Epub 2011 Jun 24.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

Previous studies have reported that bladder cancer risks are elevated in industrial and urban areas. The cause is believed to be the result of occupational exposure from industries located in urban areas. Recent studies suggest that traffic air pollution may also increase bladder cancer risks. The study purpose is to investigate the relationship between bladder cancer mortality and population density of counties in America. Another objective is to explore traffic air pollution and industrial exposures as risk factors.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Bladder cancer mortality rates for white men and women from 1950 to 1994 and population densities (population per 10 square miles) of 2,248 counties were the basis of the study. A linear regression analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between bladder cancer mortality rates and population densities after log transforming the population density data set. In addition, the counties were divided into quartiles based on bladder cancer mortality rates. Mean population density values with 95% confidence intervals for the quartiles were computed.

RESULTS

Correlation coefficients (R) between bladder cancer mortality rates and the population densities were R = .37, P < .001 for men and R = .28, P < .001 for women. In addition, population densities increased with increasing bladder cancer mortality rates across all quartiles. The mean population density of the highest quartile was more than ten times higher than the lowest.

CONCLUSIONS

In this study, we found a strong association between bladder cancer mortality and population density. Traffic air pollution is a potential cause.

摘要

目的

先前的研究报告指出,膀胱癌的风险在工业和城市地区较高。原因被认为是城市地区工业的职业暴露造成的。最近的研究表明,交通空气污染也可能增加膀胱癌的风险。本研究的目的是调查美国各县的膀胱癌死亡率与人口密度之间的关系。另一个目的是探讨交通空气污染和工业暴露作为风险因素。

材料和方法

本研究的基础是 1950 年至 1994 年白人男性和女性的膀胱癌死亡率以及 2248 个县的人口密度(每平方英里人口数)。对人口密度数据集进行对数转换后,采用线性回归分析评估膀胱癌死亡率与人口密度之间的关系。此外,根据膀胱癌死亡率将各县分为四等分。计算四分位数的平均人口密度值和 95%置信区间。

结果

男性膀胱癌死亡率与人口密度之间的相关系数(R)为 R =.37,P <.001,女性为 R =.28,P <.001。此外,在所有四分位数中,人口密度随膀胱癌死亡率的升高而增加。最高四分位数的平均人口密度是最低四分位数的十倍以上。

结论

在这项研究中,我们发现膀胱癌死亡率与人口密度之间存在很强的关联。交通空气污染是潜在的原因。

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