University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.
Health Aff (Millwood). 2011 Jul;30(7):1242-9. doi: 10.1377/hlthaff.2011.0180.
The excessive focus of news organizations on "horse race" public opinion polls during the debate about health reform in 2010 left the impression that the public was fickle, as well as sharply divided on whether the government's role in health care should expand. We examined polling data and found that public support for health reform depended very much on how individual policies were described. For example, support for the public insurance option, which was not included in the final version of the Affordable Care Act, ranged from 46.5 percent to 64.6 percent depending on how pollsters worded their questions. Our findings indicate that public support for health reform was broader and more consistent than portrayed at the time. Going forward, policy makers should strive to communicate how health care policy choices are consistent with existing public preferences or should make changes to policy that reflect those preferences.
2010 年,在有关医改的辩论中,新闻机构过度关注“赛马式”民意调查,这给人留下了这样的印象:公众善变,而且在政府是否应扩大在医疗保健领域的作用这一问题上存在严重分歧。我们研究了民调数据,发现公众对医改的支持很大程度上取决于如何描述个别政策。例如,对平价医疗法案中未包含的公共保险选择的支持率因民调人员提问措辞的不同而在 46.5%到 64.6%之间波动。我们的研究结果表明,当时公众对医改的支持比描绘的更为广泛和一致。展望未来,政策制定者应努力传达医疗保健政策选择如何与现有公众偏好保持一致,或者应根据这些偏好对政策进行调整。