Department of Environmental Sciences, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot 76100, Israel.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2011 Jul 26;108(30):12227-32. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1101777108. Epub 2011 Jul 8.
We show that the aerosol-cloud-precipitation system exhibits characteristics of the predator-prey problem in the field of population dynamics. Both a detailed large eddy simulation of the dynamics and microphysics of a precipitating shallow boundary layer cloud system and a simpler model built upon basic physical principles, reproduce predator-prey behavior with rain acting as the predator and cloud as the prey. The aerosol is shown to modulate the predator-prey response. Steady-state solution to the proposed model shows the known existence of bistability in cloudiness. Three regimes are identified in the time-dependent solutions: (i) the weakly precipitating regime where cloud and rain coexist in a quasi steady state; (ii) the moderately drizzling regime where limit-cycle behavior in the cloud and rain fields is produced; and (iii) the heavily precipitating clouds where collapse of the boundary layer is predicted. The manifestation of predator-prey behavior in the aerosol-cloud-precipitation system is a further example of the self-organizing properties of the system and suggests that exploiting principles of population dynamics may help reduce complex aerosol-cloud-rain interactions to a more tractable problem.
我们表明,气溶胶-云-降水系统在种群动力学领域表现出了捕食者-猎物问题的特征。详细的大涡模拟降水浅边界层云系统的动力学和微物理学,以及基于基本物理原理建立的更简单模型,都再现了以雨为捕食者、云为猎物的捕食者-猎物行为。气溶胶被证明可以调节捕食者-猎物的反应。所提出模型的稳态解表明云量存在双稳性的已知存在。在时变解中识别出三种状态:(i)弱降水状态,其中云和雨在准稳态中共存;(ii)中度毛毛雨状态,其中云场和雨场产生极限环行为;(iii)强降水云,预测边界层崩溃。在气溶胶-云-降水系统中表现出的捕食者-猎物行为是系统自组织特性的进一步例证,并表明利用种群动力学原理可能有助于将复杂的气溶胶-云-雨相互作用简化为更易于处理的问题。