Department of Economics, School of Arts and Sciences, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 02138, USA.
Science. 2011 Jul 29;333(6042):592-4. doi: 10.1126/science.1209264.
Technological changes and improved electronic communications seem, paradoxically, to be making cities more, rather than less, important. There is a strong correlation between urbanization and economic development across countries, and within-country evidence suggests that productivity rises in dense agglomerations. But urban economic advantages are often offset by the perennial urban curses of crime, congestion and contagious disease. The past history of the developed world suggests that these problems require more capable governments that use a combination of economic and engineering solutions. Though the scope of urban challenges can make remaining rural seem attractive, agrarian poverty has typically also been quite costly.
技术变革和改进的电子通信似乎自相矛盾地使城市变得更加重要,而不是不重要。在国家之间以及国家内部,城市化与经济发展之间存在着很强的相关性,有证据表明,在人口密集的集聚区,生产力会提高。但是,城市经济优势往往被犯罪、拥堵和传染病等长期存在的城市诅咒所抵消。发达世界的过去历史表明,这些问题需要更有能力的政府,利用经济和工程解决方案的结合。尽管城市面临的挑战范围可能会使农村地区显得更有吸引力,但农业贫困通常也代价不菲。