Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada.
Pers Soc Psychol Bull. 2012 Jan;38(1):14-25. doi: 10.1177/0146167211418531. Epub 2011 Aug 15.
In many Western countries, the proportion of the population that is White will drop below 50% within the next century. Two experiments examined how anticipation of these future ethnic demographics affects current intergroup processes. In Study 1, White Americans who viewed actual demographic projections for a time when Whites are no longer a numerical majority felt more angry toward and fearful of ethnic minorities than Whites who did not view future projections. Whites who viewed the future projections also felt more sympathy for their ingroup than Whites in the control condition. In Study 2, the authors replicated the effects for intergroup emotions with a sample of White Canadians. White Canadians who thought about a future in which Whites were a numerical minority appraised the ingroup as more threatened, which mediated the effect of condition on intergroup emotions. The authors discuss the implications of these findings for race relations in increasingly diverse societies.
在许多西方国家，下个世纪白人人口的比例将降至 50%以下。两项实验研究了对这些未来种族人口统计数据的预期如何影响当前的群体间过程。在研究 1 中，观看了白人不再占多数的时期实际人口统计预测的美国白人比没有观看未来预测的白人对少数民族感到更愤怒和恐惧。观看未来预测的白人也比对照组的白人对他们的群体更有同情心。在研究 2 中，作者在一个加拿大白人样本中复制了群体间情绪的影响。认为未来白人是少数群体的加拿大白人认为群体受到的威胁更大，这中介了条件对群体间情绪的影响。作者讨论了这些发现对日益多样化社会中种族关系的意义。
