Onge Jarron M Saint, Hunter Lori M, Boardman Jason D
University of Colorado at Boulder.
Soc Sci Q. 2007 Jun;88(2):366-381. doi: 10.1111/j.1540-6237.2007.00462.x.
A widely noted concern with amenity-driven rural population growth is its potential to yield only low-wage service-sector employment for long-term residents, while raising local costs of living. This research examines change in socioeconomic status during the 1990s for long-term residents of high-amenity, high-growth rural counties in the United States. METHODS: Using longitudinal data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics, in combination with county-level information, we estimate growth-curve models to examine the extent to which the socioeconomic status of long-term residents is associated with amenity-related in-migration. RESULTS: We find that, on average, residents in high-growth, amenity-rich rural areas have higher income growth over time and higher levels of initial occupational prestige compared to those from other rural areas, but that socioeconomic gains are primarily for individuals with low baseline prestige. CONCLUSIONS: The socioeconomic gains made by long-term residents of high-growth, amenity-rich rural areas associated with net in-migration may be limited to individuals with low initial prestige and growth may be due to low-skill service-sector jobs.
一个广受关注的问题是，由便利设施驱动的农村人口增长可能只会为长期居民带来低薪服务业就业机会，同时推高当地生活成本。本研究考察了20世纪90年代美国高便利设施、高增长农村县长期居民的社会经济地位变化。方法：利用收入动态面板研究的纵向数据，结合县级信息，我们估计增长曲线模型，以考察长期居民的社会经济地位与与便利设施相关的迁入之间的关联程度。结果：我们发现，平均而言，与其他农村地区的居民相比，高增长、便利设施丰富的农村地区居民随着时间推移收入增长更高，初始职业声望水平也更高，但社会经济收益主要集中在基线声望较低的个人身上。结论：与净迁入相关的高增长、便利设施丰富的农村地区长期居民所获得的社会经济收益可能仅限于初始声望较低的个人，增长可能归因于低技能服务业工作。
