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人脑和金融市场网络的拓扑同构。

Topological isomorphisms of human brain and financial market networks.

机构信息

Behavioural and Clinical Neuroscience Institute, University of Cambridge Cambridge, UK.

出版信息

Front Syst Neurosci. 2011 Sep 15;5:75. doi: 10.3389/fnsys.2011.00075. eCollection 2011.

Abstract

Although metaphorical and conceptual connections between the human brain and the financial markets have often been drawn, rigorous physical or mathematical underpinnings of this analogy remain largely unexplored. Here, we apply a statistical and graph theoretic approach to the study of two datasets - the time series of 90 stocks from the New York stock exchange over a 3-year period, and the fMRI-derived time series acquired from 90 brain regions over the course of a 10-min-long functional MRI scan of resting brain function in healthy volunteers. Despite the many obvious substantive differences between these two datasets, graphical analysis demonstrated striking commonalities in terms of global network topological properties. Both the human brain and the market networks were non-random, small-world, modular, hierarchical systems with fat-tailed degree distributions indicating the presence of highly connected hubs. These properties could not be trivially explained by the univariate time series statistics of stock price returns. This degree of topological isomorphism suggests that brains and markets can be regarded broadly as members of the same family of networks. The two systems, however, were not topologically identical. The financial market was more efficient and more modular - more highly optimized for information processing - than the brain networks; but also less robust to systemic disintegration as a result of hub deletion. We conclude that the conceptual connections between brains and markets are not merely metaphorical; rather these two information processing systems can be rigorously compared in the same mathematical language and turn out often to share important topological properties in common to some degree. There will be interesting scientific arbitrage opportunities in further work at the graph-theoretically mediated interface between systems neuroscience and the statistical physics of financial markets.

摘要

虽然人类大脑和金融市场之间经常存在隐喻和概念上的联系,但这种类比的严格物理或数学基础在很大程度上仍未得到探索。在这里,我们应用统计和图论方法研究了两个数据集 - 3 年内来自纽约证券交易所的 90 只股票的时间序列,以及从 90 个大脑区域获得的 fMRI 衍生时间序列在健康志愿者静息大脑功能的 10 分钟 fMRI 扫描过程中。尽管这两个数据集之间存在许多明显的实质性差异,但图形分析表明,在全局网络拓扑性质方面存在惊人的相似之处。人类大脑和市场网络都是非随机的、小世界的、模块化的、分层的系统,具有长尾度分布,表明存在高度连接的枢纽。这些特性不能简单地用股票价格回报的单变量时间序列统计来解释。这种拓扑同构程度表明,大脑和市场可以被广泛视为同一类网络的成员。然而,这两个系统在拓扑上并不完全相同。金融市场比大脑网络更有效率、更模块化 - 更适合信息处理 - 但由于枢纽删除导致系统解体的稳健性也较低。我们的结论是,大脑和市场之间的概念联系不仅仅是隐喻;相反,这两个信息处理系统可以用相同的数学语言进行严格比较,并且在某种程度上经常共享重要的拓扑性质。在系统神经科学和金融市场统计物理学之间的图论介导的界面上进一步工作将有有趣的科学套利机会。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/02de/3173712/97b1e700335c/fnsys-05-00075-g001.jpg

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