Division of Cancer Prevention and Control, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia 30341, USA.
J Am Acad Dermatol. 2011 Nov;65(5 Suppl 1):S78-86. doi: 10.1016/j.jaad.2011.05.030.
Population-based data on melanoma survival are important for understanding the impact of demographic and clinical factors on prognosis.
We describe melanoma survival by age, sex, race/ethnicity, stage, depth, histology, and site.
Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, we calculated unadjusted cause-specific survival up to 10 years from diagnosis for 68,495 first primary cases of melanoma diagnosed from 1992 to 2005. Cox multivariate analysis was performed for 5-year survival. Data from 1992 to 2001 were divided into 3 time periods to compare stage distribution and differences in stage-specific 5-year survival over time.
Melanomas that had metastasized (distant stage) or were thicker than 4.00 mm had a poor prognosis (5-year survival: 15.7% and 56.6%). The 5-year survival for men was 86.8% and for persons given the diagnosis at age 65 years or older was 83.2%, varying by stage at diagnosis. Scalp/neck melanoma had lower 5-year survival (82.6%) than other anatomic sites; unspecified/overlapping lesions had the least favorable prognosis (41.5%). Nodular and acral lentiginous melanomas had the poorest 5-year survival among histologic subtypes (69.4% and 81.2%, respectively). Survival differences by race/ethnicity were observed in the unadjusted survival, but nonsignificant in the multivariate analysis. Overall 5-year melanoma survival increased from 87.7% to 90.1% for melanomas diagnosed in 1992 through 1995 compared with 1999 through 2001, and this change was not clearly associated with a shift toward localized diagnosis.
Prognostic factors included in revised melanoma staging guidelines were not available for all study years and were not examined.
Poorer survival from melanoma was observed among those given the diagnosis at late stage and older age. Improvements in survival over time have been minimal. Although newly available therapies may impact survival, prevention and early detection are relevant to melanoma-specific survival.
人口统计学数据对黑色素瘤生存情况的研究对于了解人口统计学和临床因素对预后的影响非常重要。
我们描述了年龄、性别、种族/民族、分期、厚度、组织学和部位对黑色素瘤生存情况的影响。
利用监测、流行病学和最终结果数据库,我们对 1992 年至 2005 年间诊断的 68495 例黑色素瘤首次原发性病例进行了 10 年的无调整特异性死因生存分析。对 5 年生存率进行了 Cox 多变量分析。1992 年至 2001 年的数据被分为 3 个时间段,以比较分期分布和随时间推移的分期特异性 5 年生存率差异。
发生转移(远处分期)或厚度大于 4.00mm 的黑色素瘤预后较差(5 年生存率分别为 15.7%和 56.6%)。男性的 5 年生存率为 86.8%,65 岁及以上患者的 5 年生存率为 83.2%,具体取决于诊断时的分期。头皮/颈部黑色素瘤的 5 年生存率较低(82.6%),其他解剖部位的生存率较高;未特指/重叠病变的预后最差(41.5%)。组织学亚型中,结节性和肢端雀斑样黑色素瘤的 5 年生存率最低(分别为 69.4%和 81.2%)。未调整的生存分析中观察到种族/民族之间的生存差异,但多变量分析中无统计学意义。与 1992 年至 1995 年相比,1999 年至 2001 年黑色素瘤诊断的 5 年总生存率从 87.7%提高到 90.1%,但这一变化与局部诊断的转变并不明显相关。
修订后的黑色素瘤分期指南中包含的预后因素并非所有研究年份都有,因此未进行检查。
晚期和老年患者的黑色素瘤诊断预后较差。随着时间的推移,生存率的提高微乎其微。虽然新出现的治疗方法可能会影响生存率,但预防和早期发现与黑色素瘤特异性生存率相关。