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路上的恋物癖:严重碰撞分析。

Acciphilia on the road: An analysis of severe collisions.

机构信息

Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard School of Public Health, 665 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA 02115, USA.

出版信息

J Safety Res. 2011 Oct;42(5):367-74. doi: 10.1016/j.jsr.2011.07.005. Epub 2011 Oct 1.

Abstract

INTRODUCTION

Although prior studies of road traffic accidents have found between-group differences in risk, little attention has been given to the encounter between drivers involved in severe collisions.

METHOD

The present study empirically evaluates two different possible causes of "social accidents," which are defined as collisions between two or more drivers where some faulty social interaction might be assumed, and which are the most prevalent cause of road injuries. The analyses use merged Israeli collision records from 1983 to 2004 with data from two national censuses, thus providing an unprecedented empirical basis to study the social foundations of car accidents. The data are used to adjudicate between two alternative hypotheses: the heterogeneity hypothesis (socially different drivers tend to collide) versus the homogeneity hypothesis (socially similar drivers tend to collide).

RESULTS

Multivariate analyses provide preliminary support for the latter hypothesis. Given an accident, there are more collisions among drivers from the same broad educational group, and the factors that influence this correlation are independent of geography. The paper thus leads to the idea that severe collisions reflect a sociological or ecological process that is akin to acciphilia.

IMPACT ON INDUSTRY

The preliminary findings suggest that variation between drivers may be preferable to similarity, since apparently there is a greater tendency toward collisions between similar drivers.

摘要

简介

尽管先前有关道路交通碰撞事故的研究发现了不同群体之间的风险差异,但很少关注涉及严重碰撞的驾驶员之间的相遇。

方法

本研究实证评估了“社会事故”的两种不同可能原因,“社会事故”被定义为两个或多个驾驶员之间的碰撞,其中可能假定存在一些错误的社会互动,这是道路伤害最常见的原因。这些分析使用了 1983 年至 2004 年以色列碰撞记录与两次全国人口普查数据的合并,从而为研究汽车事故的社会基础提供了前所未有的实证依据。这些数据用于在两个替代假设之间进行裁决:异质性假设(社会背景不同的驾驶员往往会发生碰撞)与同质性假设(社会背景相似的驾驶员往往会发生碰撞)。

结果

多变量分析初步支持后一种假设。在发生事故的情况下,来自同一广泛教育群体的驾驶员之间发生碰撞的次数更多,并且影响这种相关性的因素与地理位置无关。因此,本文提出了一个观点,即严重碰撞反映了一种类似亲和性的社会学或生态学过程。

对行业的影响

初步发现表明,驾驶员之间的差异可能优于相似性,因为显然相似的驾驶员之间发生碰撞的趋势更大。

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