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伊朗儿童溺水情况:结局与预后因素

Drowning in children in Iran: outcomes and prognostic factors.

作者信息

Mosayebi Z, Movahedian A H, Mousavi G A

机构信息

Department of Pediatrics, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran.

出版信息

Med J Malaysia. 2011 Aug;66(3):187-90.

Abstract

The aim of this study was to determine possible associations between some prognostic factors and drowning outcome. There were 47 drowning victims during the study period, of whom 39 (83%) survived and 8 (17%) died. All deaths occurred in children aged under 5 including 7 (87.5%) male and 1 (12.5%) female victims. Seven (87.5%) were Iranian and only one (12.5%) was from Afghanistan. Absence of vital signs at hospital arrival, need for resuscitation, GCS < 5 and acidosis all were associated with adverse outcome with a statistical significance (P < 0.05), but hypothermia was the only idependent predictor of poor outcome (OR 13.7; 95% CI 2.27 to 82.7 , P = 0.003). Since prognostic factors do not predict outcome with 100% accuracy, performing cardiopulmonary resuscitation at the scene and continuing it in the hospital can provide higher chances of recovery for the children.

摘要

本研究的目的是确定一些预后因素与溺水结局之间可能存在的关联。在研究期间有47名溺水受害者,其中39人(83%)存活,8人(17%)死亡。所有死亡均发生在5岁以下儿童中,包括7名(87.5%)男性和1名(12.5%)女性受害者。7名(87.5%)是伊朗人,只有1名(12.5%)来自阿富汗。入院时无生命体征、需要进行复苏、格拉斯哥昏迷评分(GCS)<5以及酸中毒均与不良结局相关,具有统计学意义(P<0.05),但体温过低是不良结局的唯一独立预测因素(比值比13.7;95%置信区间2.27至82.7,P=0.003)。由于预后因素不能100%准确预测结局,在现场进行心肺复苏并在医院继续进行,可以为儿童提供更高的康复机会。

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