Centre for Biostatistics and Genetic Epidemiology, Department of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, 22-28 Princess Road West, Leicester LE1 6TP, United Kingdom.
Epidemiol Rev. 2012;34:32-45. doi: 10.1093/epirev/mxr015. Epub 2011 Nov 29.
This study is the first known to use network meta-analysis to simultaneously evaluate the effectiveness of interventions to increase the prevalence of functioning smoke alarms in households with children. The authors identified 24 primary studies from a systematic review of reviews and of more recently published primary studies, of which 23 (17 randomized controlled trials and 6 nonrandomized comparative studies) were included in 1 of the following 2 network meta-analyses: 1) possession of a functioning alarm: interventions that were more "intensive" (i.e., included components providing equipment (with or without fitting), home inspection, or both, in addition to education) generally were more effective. The intervention containing all of the aforementioned components was identified as being the most likely to be the most effective (probability (best) = 0.66), with an odds ratio versus usual care of 7.15 (95% credible interval: 2.40, 22.73); 2) type of battery-powered alarms: ionization alarms with lithium batteries were most likely to be the best type for increasing functioning possession (probability (best) = 0.69). Smoke alarm promotion programs should ensure they provide the combination of interventions most likely to be effective.
这项研究首次使用网络荟萃分析同时评估了增加有儿童家庭中有效烟雾报警器普及率的干预措施的效果。作者从系统评价和最近发表的主要研究中确定了 24 项初步研究,其中 23 项(17 项随机对照试验和 6 项非随机比较研究)被纳入以下 2 项网络荟萃分析之一:1)拥有有效的警报器:更“密集”的干预措施(即,除了教育外,还包括提供设备(带或不带安装)、家庭检查或两者)通常更有效。包含上述所有组件的干预措施被确定为最有可能是最有效的(最佳概率=0.66),与常规护理相比,优势比为 7.15(95%可信区间:2.40,22.73);2)电池供电警报器的类型:带锂电池的电离警报器最有可能成为增加有效功能的最佳类型(最佳概率=0.69)。烟雾报警器推广计划应确保提供最有可能有效的干预措施组合。