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美国母亲苯暴露与低出生体重风险:汽油配方改革中的自然实验。

Maternal benzene exposure and low birth weight risk in the United States: a natural experiment in gasoline reformulation.

机构信息

Department of Economics, Center for Disaster and Risk Analysis, Colorado State University, C312A Clark Building, Fort Collins, CO, 80523-1771, USA.

出版信息

Environ Res. 2012 Jan;112:139-46. doi: 10.1016/j.envres.2011.11.008. Epub 2011 Dec 15.

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between maternal exposure to benzene and birth weight outcomes for resident births in the United States in 1996 and 1999, taking advantage of a natural experiment afforded by the regulation of benzene content of gasoline in various American cities. Regression results show that a unit increase (μg/m(3)) in maternal exposure to benzene reduces birth weight by 16.5 g (95% CI, 17.6 to 15.4). A unit increase in benzene exposure increases the odds of a low birth weight event by 7%. Similarly, a 1 μg/m(3) increase in benzene concentration increases the odds of very low birth weight event by a multiplicative factor of 1.23 (95% CI, 1.19 to 1.28). Difference-in-differences analyses show that birth weight increased by 13.7 g (95% CI, 10.7 to 16.8) and the risk of low birth weight decreased by a factor of .95 (95% CI, .93 to .98) in counties experiencing a 25% decline in benzene concentrations from 1996 to 1999. Public health policy and economic implications of results are discussed.

摘要

我们研究了 1996 年和 1999 年美国居民出生时母亲暴露于苯和出生体重结果之间的关系,利用美国各城市调整汽油中苯含量带来的自然实验机会。回归结果表明,母亲暴露于苯每增加 1μg/m(3),出生体重就会减少 16.5g(95%CI:17.6 至 15.4)。母亲暴露于苯每增加 1μg/m(3),低出生体重事件的几率就会增加 7%。同样,苯浓度每增加 1μg/m(3),极低出生体重事件的几率就会增加 1.23 倍(95%CI:1.19 至 1.28)。差异分析表明,在苯浓度下降 25%的县,出生体重增加了 13.7g(95%CI:10.7 至 16.8),低出生体重的风险降低了 0.95 倍(95%CI:0.93 至 0.98)。讨论了结果对公共卫生政策和经济的影响。

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