University of Rochester Medical Center, School of Medicine & Dentistry, 265 Crittenden Blvd Box 420644, Rochester, NY 14642, United States.
J Health Econ. 2018 Sep;61:134-150. doi: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2018.07.004. Epub 2018 Aug 13.
This research exploits the introduction of shale gas wells in Pennsylvania in response to growing controversy around the drilling method of hydraulic fracturing. Using detailed location data on maternal addresses and GIS coordinates of gas wells, this study examines singleton births to mothers residing close to a shale gas well from 2003 to 2010 in Pennsylvania. The introduction of drilling increased low birth weight and decreased term birth weight on average among mothers living within 2.5 km of a well compared to mothers living within 2.5 km of a permitted well. Adverse effects were also detected using measures such as small for gestational age and APGAR scores, while no effects on gestation periods were found. In the intensive margin, an additional well is associated with a 7 percent increase in low birth weight, a 5 g reduction in term birth weight and a 3 percent increase in premature birth. These results are robust to other measures of infant health, many changes in specification and falsification tests. These findings suggest that shale gas development poses significant risks to human health.
本研究利用宾夕法尼亚州页岩气井的引入,针对水力压裂钻井方法的日益争议展开。利用产妇地址的详细位置数据和天然气井的 GIS 坐标,本研究调查了 2003 年至 2010 年间宾夕法尼亚州居住在页岩气井附近的单胎出生情况。与居住在许可气井 2.5 公里范围内的母亲相比,居住在气井 2.5 公里范围内的母亲的钻井引入平均导致低出生体重和足月出生体重下降。使用小胎龄和 APGAR 评分等指标也检测到了不良影响,而妊娠期没有发现影响。在密集边界上,每增加一口井,低出生体重的风险就会增加 7%,足月出生体重就会减少 5 克,早产的风险就会增加 3%。这些结果在其他婴儿健康指标、规范和验证测试的许多变化下都是稳健的。这些发现表明,页岩气开发对人类健康构成重大风险。