Departamento de Matemática Aplicada II, Universidade de Vigo, E.T.S.E. Telecomunicación, Campus Marcosende, 36310 Vigo, Spain.
J Theor Biol. 2012 Mar 21;297:148-65. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2011.12.012. Epub 2011 Dec 21.
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the effect of constant effort harvesting upon global dynamics of a discrete-time population model with juvenile and adult stages. We consider different scenarios, including adult-only mortality, juvenile-only mortality, and equal mortality of juveniles and adults. In addition to analytical study of equilibria of the system, we analyze global dynamics by means of an automated set-oriented rigorous numerical method. We obtain a comprehensive overview of the dynamics as the harvest rate and survival probability change. In particular, we determine the range of parameters for which the population abundance gets larger in spite of an increase in the harvest rate (so-called hydra effect), and for which subsequent increases in harvesting effort can magnify fluctuations in population abundance (destabilize it) and then stabilize it again (so-called bubble effect).
本文旨在分析具有幼体和成年期的离散时间种群模型中持续努力收获对全局动态的影响。我们考虑了不同的情况,包括仅成年死亡、仅幼体死亡以及幼体和成年死亡率相等。除了对系统平衡点进行分析研究外,我们还通过自动化的集值严格数值方法来分析全局动态。我们通过改变收获率和存活率来全面了解动态。特别是,我们确定了种群丰度尽管收获率增加但仍会增加的参数范围(所谓的九头蛇效应),以及随后增加收获努力可以放大种群丰度波动的参数范围(使其不稳定),然后使其再次稳定的参数范围(所谓的泡沫效应)。