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酒精性驾驶:饮酒量和饮酒频率很重要。

Alcohol-impaired driving: average quantity consumed and frequency of drinking do matter.

机构信息

School of Social Work, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan 48105, USA.

出版信息

Traffic Inj Prev. 2012;13(1):24-30. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2011.629700.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this article is to estimate and validate a logistic model of alcohol-impaired driving using previously ignored alcohol consumption behaviors, other risky behaviors, and demographic characteristics as independent variables.

METHODS

The determinants of impaired driving are estimated using the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's (CDC) Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System (BRFSS) surveys. Variables used in a logistic model to explain alcohol-impaired driving are not only standard sociodemographic variables and bingeing but also frequency of drinking and average quantity consumed, as well as other risky behaviors. We use interactions to understand how being female and being young affect impaired driving. Having estimated our model using the 1997 survey, we validated our model using the BRFSS data for 1999.

RESULTS

Drinking 9 or more times in the past month doubled the odds of impaired driving. The greater average consumption of alcohol per session, the greater the odds of driving impaired, especially for persons in the highest quartile of alcohol consumed. Bingeing has the greatest effect on impaired driving. Seat belt use is the one risky behavior found to be related to such driving. Sociodemographic effects are consistent with earlier research. Being young (18-30) interacts with two of the alcohol consumption variables and being a woman interacts with always wearing a seat belt. Our model was robust in the validation analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

All 3 dimensions of drinking behavior are important determinants of alcohol-impaired driving, including frequency and average quantity consumed. Including these factors in regressions improves the estimates of the effects of all variables.

摘要

目的

本文旨在使用先前被忽视的饮酒行为、其他危险行为和人口统计学特征作为自变量,估计和验证酒精致驾能力受损的逻辑模型。

方法

使用美国疾病控制与预防中心(CDC)的行为风险因素监测系统(BRFSS)调查来估计致驾能力受损的决定因素。用于解释酒精致驾能力受损的逻辑模型中的变量不仅包括标准的社会人口统计学变量和狂饮,还包括饮酒频率和平均消耗量以及其他危险行为。我们使用交互作用来了解女性和年轻对致驾能力受损的影响。使用 1997 年的调查数据估计模型后,我们使用 1999 年的 BRFSS 数据验证了我们的模型。

结果

过去一个月中饮酒 9 次或以上会使致驾能力受损的几率增加一倍。每次饮酒的平均量越大,致驾能力受损的几率就越大,尤其是在酒精消耗量最高的四分位数人群中。狂饮对致驾能力受损的影响最大。系安全带是与这种驾驶行为相关的唯一危险行为。社会人口统计学效应与早期研究一致。年轻(18-30 岁)与两个饮酒量变量相互作用,而女性与始终系安全带相互作用。我们的模型在验证分析中是稳健的。

结论

饮酒行为的三个维度都是酒精致驾能力受损的重要决定因素,包括饮酒频率和平均消耗量。将这些因素纳入回归可以提高所有变量效应的估计值。

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