Rapoport J, Teres D, Lemeshow S, Harris D
Department of Economics, Mount Holyoke College, South Hadley, MA 01075.
Crit Care Med. 1990 Nov;18(11):1231-5. doi: 10.1097/00003246-199011000-00009.
This study assessed the relationship between admission time (from hospital admission to ICU admission) and mortality predicted by the Mortality Prediction Model (MPM), actual mortality, and resource use. All admissions, except elective surgery patients, to the general medical/surgical ICU of a tertiary care hospital during a 24-month period were studied (n = 1,889). Patients admitted to the ICU within 1 day of hospital admission had lower predicted and actual mortality, and used fewer resources than patients admitted later. Predicted mortality was higher than actual mortality for patients admitted to the ICU early and was lower than actual mortality for later ICU admissions. Transfers had higher predicted and actual mortality, and used more resources than nontransfer patients. Time from hospital admission to ICU admission can be a potentially useful variable in models of ICU outcome.
本研究评估了入院时间(从医院入院至重症监护病房[ICU]入院)与死亡率预测模型(MPM)预测的死亡率、实际死亡率及资源使用之间的关系。对一家三级护理医院普通内科/外科ICU在24个月期间的所有入院患者(择期手术患者除外)进行了研究(n = 1889)。与入院较晚的患者相比,在入院1天内入住ICU的患者预测死亡率和实际死亡率较低,且资源使用较少。早期入住ICU的患者预测死亡率高于实际死亡率,而晚期入住ICU的患者预测死亡率低于实际死亡率。转院患者的预测死亡率和实际死亡率较高,且比未转院患者使用更多资源。从医院入院至ICU入院的时间在ICU结局模型中可能是一个潜在有用的变量。